Beyond the model: expert knowledge improves predictions of species’ fates under climate change

Making the best use of experts' estimates to prioritise monitoring and management actions: A freshwater case study

(2018) Sam Nicol et al.   JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

Examining current or future trade-offs for biodiversity conservation in north-eastern Australia

(2017) April E. Reside et al.   PLoS One

Incorporating climate change into spatial conservation prioritisation: A review

(2016) Kendall R. Jones et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Incorporating evolutionary adaptation in species distribution modelling reduces projected vulnerability to climate change

(2016) Alex Bush et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A trait-based approach for predicting species responses to environmental change from sparse data: how well might terrestrial mammals track climate change?

(2016) Luca Santini et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species' responses to climate change

(2016) David J. Baker et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

When and how should biotic interactions be considered in models of species niches and distributions?

(2016) Robert P. Anderson   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Trophic cascades in 3D: network analysis reveals how apex predators structure ecosystems

(2016) Arian D. Wallach et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Vulnerability of Australian tropical savanna birds to climate change

(2015) April E. Reside et al.   AUSTRAL ECOLOGY

Targeted gene flow for conservation

(2015) Ella Kelly et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Heat hardening in a tropical lizard: geographic variation explained by the predictability and variance in environmental temperatures

(2015) Ben L. Phillips et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Modelling both dominance and species distribution provides a more complete picture of changes to mangrove ecosystems under climate change

(2015) Beth Crase et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Priority threat management of invasive animals to protect biodiversity under climate change

(2015) Jennifer Firn et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Conserving Biodiversity: Practical Guidance about Climate Change Adaptation Approaches in Support of Land-use Planning

(2015) Oswald J. Schmitz et al.   NATURAL AREAS JOURNAL

Structured analysis of conservation strategies applied to temporary conservation

(2014) Atte Moilanen et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Stepping inside the niche: microclimate data are critical for accurate assessment of species' vulnerability to climate change

(2014) C. Storlie et al.   Biology Letters

Understanding co-occurrence by modelling species simultaneously with a Joint Species Distribution Model (JSDM)

(2014) Laura J. Pollock et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species’ responses to climate change

(2014) Louise Mair et al.   Nature Climate Change

Improved spatial estimates of climate predict patchier species distributions

(2013) C. J. Storlie et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Identifying the World's Most Climate Change Vulnerable Species: A Systematic Trait-Based Assessment of all Birds, Amphibians and Corals

(2013) Wendy B. Foden et al.   PLoS One

Variation in Thermal Performance of a Widespread Pathogen, the Amphibian Chytrid Fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis

(2013) Lisa A. Stevenson et al.   PLoS One

Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss

(2013) R. Warren et al.   Nature Climate Change

Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science

(2012) TARA G. MARTIN et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Biotic interactions influence the projected distribution of a specialist mammal under climate change

(2012) Brooke L. Bateman et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Ecosystem greenspots: identifying potential drought, fire, and climate-change micro-refuges

(2012) Brendan Mackey et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity

(2012) Céline Bellard et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Environmental Refuge from Disease-Driven Amphibian Extinction

(2011) ROBERT PUSCHENDORF et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Incorporating low-resolution historic species location data decreases performance of distribution models

(2011) April E. Reside et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Redefining expertise and improving ecological judgment

(2011) Mark Burgman et al.   Conservation Letters

Active adaptive conservation of threatened species in the face of uncertainty

(2010) Eve McDonald-Madden et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Ecological niche modeling in Maxent: the importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria

(2010) Dan L. Warren et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Distributions, life-history specialization, and phylogeny of the rain forest vertebrates in the Australian Wet Tropics

(2010) S. E. Williams et al.   ECOLOGY

Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world

(2010) LUKE P. SHOO et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Habitat area, quality and connectivity: striking the balance for efficient conservation

(2010) Jenny A. Hodgson et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Monitoring does not always count

(2010) Eve McDonald-Madden et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Abundance and the Environmental Niche: Environmental Suitability Estimated from Niche Models Predicts the Upper Limit of Local Abundance

(2009) Jeremy VanDerWal et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecological specialization and population size in a biodiversity hotspot: How rare species avoid extinction

(2009) S. E. Williams et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Birds track their Grinnellian niche through a century of climate change

(2009) M. W. Tingley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial analysis improves species distribution modelling during range expansion

(2008) P. De Marco et al.   Biology Letters

Scale effects in species distribution models: implications for conservation planning under climate change

(2008) C. Seo et al.   Biology Letters

Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation

(2008) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Microrefugia

(2008) Valentí Rull   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY