Smoke consequences of new wildfire regimes driven by climate change

Exploring the role of fire, succession, climate, and weather on landscape dynamics using comparative modeling

(2013) Robert E. Keane et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Evaluating the performance and mapping of three fuel classification systems using Forest Inventory and Analysis surface fuel measurements

(2013) Robert E. Keane et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States

(2013) John T. Abatzoglou et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Climate extremes and the carbon cycle

(2013) Markus Reichstein et al.   NATURE

Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise

(2013) Trevor F. Keenan et al.   NATURE

Conterminous U.S. and Alaska Forest Type Mapping Using Forest Inventory and Analysis Data

(2013) B. Ruefenacht et al.   PHOTOGRAMMETRIC ENGINEERING AND REMOTE SENSING

Uncertainty in temperature projections reduced using carbon cycle and climate observations

(2013) Roger W. Bodman et al.   Nature Climate Change

Wildfire and the atmosphere: Modelling the chemical and dynamic interactions at the regional scale

(2012) S. Strada et al.   ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT

The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results

(2012) Linda O. Mearns et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Simulating the impact of the large-scale circulation on the 2-m temperature and precipitation climatology

(2012) Jared H. Bowden et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes

(2012) Crystal L. Raymond et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Aerosols from Fires: An Examination of the Effects on Ozone Photochemistry in the Western United States

(2012) Xiaoyan Jiang et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of hemispheric temperatures and global ocean heat content

(2012) Magne Aldrin et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Effects of bark beetle-caused tree mortality on wildfire

(2012) Jeffrey A. Hicke et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Future U.S. wildfire potential trends projected using a dynamically downscaled climate change scenario

(2012) Yongqiang Liu et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

North American carbon dioxide sources and sinks: magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty

(2012) Anthony W King et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Introducing subgrid-scale cloud feedbacks to radiation for regional meteorological and climate modeling

(2012) Kiran Alapaty et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Fuel shapes the fire-climate relationship: evidence from Mediterranean ecosystems

(2012) Juli G. Pausas et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Atmospheric interactions with wildland fire behaviour - I. Basic surface interactions, vertical profiles and synoptic structures

(2012) Brian E. Potter   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Modelling smoke transport from wildland fires: a review

(2012) Scott L. Goodrick et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Climatic Variability of Near-Surface Turbulent Kinetic Energy over the United States: Implications for Fire-Weather Predictions

(2012) Warren E. Heilman et al.   Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Does Nudging Squelch the Extremes in Regional Climate Modeling?

(2012) Tanya L. Otte et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Fire-induced carbon emissions and regrowth uptake in western U.S. forests: Documenting variation across forest types, fire severity, and climate regions

(2012) Bardan Ghimire et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial scaling of wildland fuels for six forest and rangeland ecosystems of the northern Rocky Mountains, USA

(2012) Robert E. Keane et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Long-term perspective on wildfires in the western USA

(2012) J. R. Marlon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Perception of climate change

(2012) J. Hansen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A Less Cloudy Future: The Role of Subtropical Subsidence in Climate Sensitivity

(2012) J. T. Fasullo et al.   SCIENCE

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress

(2012) William R. L. Anderegg et al.   Nature Climate Change

Ecological and climatic controls of modern wildfire activity patterns across southwestern South America

(2012) Andrés Holz et al.   Ecosphere

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Potential shifts in dominant forest cover in interior Alaska driven by variations in fire severity

(2011) K. Barrett et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Toward dynamic global vegetation models for simulating vegetation–climate interactions and feedbacks: recent developments, limitations, and future challenges

(2011) Anne Quillet et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS

Modeling fire and the terrestrial carbon balance

(2011) I. C. Prentice et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Radiative forcing of natural forest disturbances

(2011) Thomas L. O'Halloran et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications

(2011) John T. Abatzoglou et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Examining Interior Grid Nudging Techniques Using Two-Way Nesting in the WRF Model for Regional Climate Modeling

(2011) Jared H. Bowden et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Model comparisons for estimating carbon emissions from North American wildland fire

(2011) Nancy H. F. French et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Improving canopy processes in the Community Land Model version 4 (CLM4) using global flux fields empirically inferred from FLUXNET data

(2011) Gordon B. Bonan et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Observed increase in local cooling effect of deforestation at higher latitudes

(2011) Xuhui Lee et al.   NATURE

Mid-latitude afforestation shifts general circulation and tropical precipitation

(2011) A. L. S. Swann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Pathways for climate change effects on fire: Models, data, and uncertainties

(2011) Amy E. Hessl   PROGRESS IN PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY

Anthropogenic Aerosols and the Weakening of the South Asian Summer Monsoon

(2011) M. A. Bollasina et al.   SCIENCE

Overstretching attribution

(2011) Camille Parmesan et al.   Nature Climate Change

Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model

(2011) David M Lawrence et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change

(2011) Jeremy S. Littell et al.   Ecosphere

Climate Change and Bark Beetles of the Western United States and Canada: Direct and Indirect Effects

(2010) Barbara J. Bentz et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability

(2010) Clara Deser et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

(2010) Philip W. Mote et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Constraints on global fire activity vary across a resource gradient

(2010) Meg A. Krawchuk et al.   ECOLOGY

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A framework for evaluating regional-scale numerical photochemical modeling systems

(2010) Robin Dennis et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL FLUID MECHANICS

Predicting response of fuel load to future changes in climate and atmospheric composition in the Southern United States

(2010) Chi Zhang et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Intensification of hot extremes in the United States

(2010) Noah S. Diffenbaugh et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The carbon costs of mitigating high-severity wildfire in southwestern ponderosa pine

(2010) MATTHEW D. HURTEAU et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Turbulent kinetic energy during wildfires in the north central and north-eastern US

(2010) Warren E. Heilman et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Ecosystem carbon dioxide fluxes after disturbance in forests of North America

(2010) B. D. Amiro et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Using a stochastic model and cross-scale analysis to evaluate controls on historical low-severity fire regimes

(2010) Maureen C. Kennedy et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Changes in Arctic vegetation amplify high-latitude warming through the greenhouse effect

(2010) A. L. Swann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A Determination of the Cloud Feedback from Climate Variations over the Past Decade

(2010) A. E. Dessler   SCIENCE

Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916–2003

(2009) Jeremy S. Littell et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Vegetation mediated the impacts of postglacial climate change on fire regimes in the south-central Brooks Range, Alaska

(2009) Philip E. Higuera et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

California Wildfires of 2008: Coarse and Fine Particulate Matter Toxicity

(2009) Teresa C. Wegesser et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES

Efficient Probabilistic Estimates of Surface Ozone Concentration Using an Ensemble of Model Configurations and Direct Sensitivity Calculations

(2009) Robert W. Pinder et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Risks to forest carbon offset projects in a changing climate

(2009) Christopher S. Galik et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st century

(2009) M. S. BALSHI et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A surface fuel classification for estimating fire effects

(2009) Duncan C. Lutes et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Relative importance of fuel management, ignition management and weather for area burned: evidence from five landscape–fire–succession models

(2009) Geoffrey J. Cary et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

The BlueSky smoke modeling framework

(2009) Narasimhan K. Larkin et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire

(2009) Mike D. Flannigan et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Wildfire responses to abrupt climate change in North America

(2009) J. R. Marlon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Vegetation fire emissions and their impact on air pollution and climate

(2008) Bärbel Langmann et al.   ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT

UNDERSTANDING AND PREDICTING ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS: ARE MAJOR SURPRISES INEVITABLE

(2008) Daniel F. Doak et al.   ECOLOGY

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

CMAQ Model Performance Enhanced When In-Cloud Secondary Organic Aerosol is Included: Comparisons of Organic Carbon Predictions with Measurements

(2008) Annmarie G. Carlton et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Simulated response of conterminous United States ecosystems to climate change at different levels of fire suppression, CO2 emission rate, and growth response to CO2

(2008) James M. Lenihan et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

A High-Resolution Climate Model for the U.S. Pacific Northwest: Mesoscale Feedbacks and Local Responses to Climate Change*

(2008) Eric P. Salathé et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Dynamical downscaling: Assessment of model system dependent retained and added variability for two different regional climate models

(2008) Burkhardt Rockel et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Critical slowing down as an indicator of transitions in two-species models

(2008) Ryan A. Chisholm et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Flood or Drought: How Do Aerosols Affect Precipitation?

(2008) D. Rosenfeld et al.   SCIENCE

Forests and Climate Change: Forcings, Feedbacks, and the Climate Benefits of Forests

(2008) G. B. Bonan   SCIENCE