Statistical indicators and state–space population models predict extinction in a population of bobwhite quail

Fitting population growth models in the presence of measurement and detection error

(2013) Trevor J. Hefley et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Common pattern of population decline for freshwater cetacean species in deteriorating habitats

(2012) SHIANG-LIN HUANG et al.   FRESHWATER BIOLOGY

Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions

(2012) C. Boettiger et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Detecting and estimating density dependence in wildlife populations

(2012) Jean-Dominique Lebreton et al.   JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT

Likelihood based population viability analysis in the presence of observation error

(2012) Khurram Nadeem et al.   OIKOS

Early warning signals and the prosecutor's fallacy

(2012) C. Boettiger et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

(2012) L. Dai et al.   SCIENCE

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: A Generalized Modeling Approach

(2012) Steven J. Lade et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Estimation methods for nonlinear state-space models in ecology

(2011) M.W. Pedersen et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   ECOLOGY

On observation distributions for state space models of population survey data

(2011) Jonas Knape et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Estimability and Likelihood Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Using Data Cloning

(2011) Subhash R. Lele et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Alternative stable states explain unpredictable biological control of Salvinia molesta in Kakadu

(2011) Shon S. Schooler et al.   NATURE

A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics

(2011) Christian Kuehn   PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Factors influencing long-term population dynamics of pronghorn (Antilocapra americana): evidence of an Allee effect

(2010) Justin D. Hoffman et al.   JOURNAL OF MAMMALOGY

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Hierarchical models in ecology: confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, and model selection using data cloning

(2009) José Miguel Ponciano et al.   ECOLOGY

Likelihood ridges and multimodality in population growth rate models

(2009) Leo Polansky et al.   ECOLOGY

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Extinction risk depends strongly on factors contributing to stochasticity

(2008) Brett A. Melbourne et al.   NATURE

High-amplitude fluctuations and alternative dynamical states of midges in Lake Myvatn

(2008) Anthony R. Ives et al.   NATURE

Effects of habitat quality and size on extinction in experimental populations

(2008) B. D Griffen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES