On the assessment of reliability in probabilistic hydrometeorological event forecasting

Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts

(2014) H. M. Christensen et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A regional Bayesian hierarchical model for flood frequency analysis

(2014) Hongxiang Yan et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

The Science of NOAA's Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service

(2013) Julie Demargne et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A Bayesian Framework for Probabilistic Seasonal Drought Forecasting

(2013) Shahrbanou Madadgar et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

On computing the distribution function for the Poisson binomial distribution

(2012) Yili Hong   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Verification of TIGGE Multimodel and ECMWF Reforecast-Calibrated Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts over the Contiguous United States*

(2012) Thomas M. Hamill   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Comparing NWS PoP Forecasts to Third-Party Providers

(2011) J. Eric Bickel et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction

(2011) J. Slingo et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble

(2010) J. D. Annan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System

(2010) Florian Pappenberger et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Communicating forecast uncertainty: public perception of weather forecast uncertainty

(2010) Susan Joslyn et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Decomposition of the mean squared error and NSE performance criteria: Implications for improving hydrological modelling

(2009) Hoshin V. Gupta et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores

(2009) Jochen Bröcker   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Evaluating Rank Histograms Using Decompositions of the Chi-Square Test Statistic

(2008) Ian T. Jolliffe et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles

(2008) Young-Youn Park et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Two Extra Components in the Brier Score Decomposition

(2008) D. B. Stephenson et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING