Chasing a moving target: projecting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions

Habitat stability affects dispersal and the ability to track climate change

(2012) C. Hof et al.   Biology Letters

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

(2012) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY

Equilibrium of Global Amphibian Species Distributions with Climate

(2012) Mariana Munguía et al.   PLoS One

Strengthening forecasts of climate change impacts with multi-model ensemble averaged projections using MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Multi-model climate projections for biodiversity risk assessments

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Disentangling the relative importance of climate, size and competition on tree growth in Iberian forests: implications for forest management under global change

(2011) LORENA GÓMEZ-APARICIO et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Intra-specific variability and plasticity influence potential tree species distributions under climate change

(2011) Marta Benito Garzón et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents

(2011) W. D. Kissling et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

The Contribution of Vegetation and Landscape Configuration for Predicting Environmental Change Impacts on Iberian Birds

(2011) Maria Triviño et al.   PLoS One

Fine-scale environmental variation in species distribution modelling: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice

(2011) Greg J. McInerny et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Modeling plant ranges over 75 years of climate change in California, USA: temporal transferability and species traits

(2010) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Species’ response patterns to habitat fragmentation: do trees support the extinction threshold hypothesis?

(2010) Daniel Montoya et al.   OIKOS

Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

(2010) Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change

(2009) B. W. Brook et al.   Biology Letters

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Do species distribution models explain spatial structure within tree species ranges?

(2009) Daniel Montoya et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Taxonomic depletions and ecological disruption of the Iberian flora over 65 million years

(2009) José S. Carrión et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Is current climatic equilibrium a guarantee for the transferability of distribution model predictions? A case study of the spotted hyena

(2009) Sara Varela et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Floristic changes in the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands (south-west Europe) during the Cenozoic

(2009) José M. Postigo Mijarra et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change

(2009) B.J Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States

(2009) P. J. van Mantgem et al.   SCIENCE

Effects of climate change on the distribution of Iberian tree species

(2008) Marta Benito Garzón et al.   APPLIED VEGETATION SCIENCE

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird population size from observed climatic change

(2008) R. E Green et al.   Biology Letters

Human and non-human determinants of forest composition in southern Spain: evidence of shifts towards cork oak dominance as a result of management over the past century

(2008) Itziar R. Urbieta et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Glacial refugia of temperate trees in Europe: insights from species distribution modelling

(2008) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Animal Versus Wind Dispersal and the Robustness of Tree Species to Deforestation

(2008) D. Montoya et al.   SCIENCE

Climate Change, Humans, and the Extinction of the Woolly Mammoth

(2008) David Nogués-Bravo et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Exposure of European biodiversity to changes in human-induced pressures

(2007) M.B. Araújo et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS