4.8 Article

Donor Risk Index for African American Liver Transplant Recipients With Hepatitis C Virus

Journal

HEPATOLOGY
Volume 58, Issue 4, Pages 1263-1269

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/hep.26478

Keywords

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Funding

  1. Biostatistics Core of the UCSF Liver Center [P30 DK026743]

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African American (AA) liver transplant (LT) recipients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) have higher rates of graft loss than other racial/ethnic groups. The Donor Risk Index (DRI) predicts graft loss but is neither race- nor disease-specific and may not be optimal for assessing donor risk for AA HCV-positive LT recipients. We developed a DRI for AA with HCV with the goal of enhancing graft loss predictions. All U.S. HCV-positive adult AA first deceased donor LTs surviving 30 days from March 2002 to December 2009 were included. A total of 1,766 AA LT recipients were followed for median 2.8 (interquartile range [IQR] 1.3-4.9) years. Independent predictors of graft loss were donor age (40-49 years: hazard ratio [HR] 1.54; 50-59 years: HR 1.80; 60+ years: HR 2.34, P<0.001), non-AA donor (HR 1.66, P<0.001), and cold ischemia time (CIT) (HR 1.03 per hour >8 hours, P=0.03). Importantly, the negative effect of increasing donor age on graft and patient survival among AAs was attenuated by receipt of an AA donor. A new donor risk model for AA (AADRI-C) consisting of donor age, race, and CIT yielded 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year predicted graft survival rates of 91%, 77%, and 68% for AADRI <1.60; 86%, 67%, and 55% for AADRI 1.60-2.44; and 78%, 53%, and 39% for AADRI >2.44. In the validation dataset, AADRI-C correctly reclassified 27% of patients (net reclassification improvement P=0.04) compared to the original DRI. Conclusion: AADRI-C identifies grafts at higher risk of failure and this information is useful for risk-benefit discussions with recipients. Use of AA donors allows consideration of older donors. (Hepatology 2013;58:1263-1269)

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