Skill (or lack thereof) of data-model fusion techniques to provide an early warning signal for an approaching tipping point

Direct policy search for robust multi-objective management of deeply uncertain socio-ecological tipping points

(2017) Julianne D. Quinn et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Many-objective robust decision making for managing an ecosystem with a deeply uncertain threshold response

(2015) Riddhi Singh et al.   ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY

Confronting tipping points: Can multi-objective evolutionary algorithms discover pollution control tradeoffs given environmental thresholds?

(2015) Victoria L. Ward et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

With and without warning: managing ecosystems in a changing world

(2015) Michael L Pace et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Do early warning indicators consistently predict nonlinear change in long-term ecological data?

(2015) Sarah J. Burthe et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

(2014) V. Dakos et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Control of multistability

(2014) Alexander N. Pisarchik et al.   PHYSICS REPORTS-REVIEW SECTION OF PHYSICS LETTERS

Catastrophic filter divergence in filtering nonlinear dissipative systems

(2013) John Harlim et al.   Communications in Mathematical Sciences

Regime shifts in a social-ecological system

(2013) Steven J. Lade et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Thresholds, tipping and turning points for sustainability under climate change

(2013) Saskia E Werners et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

Toward a physically plausible upper bound of sea-level rise projections

(2012) Ryan L. Sriver et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: A Generalized Modeling Approach

(2012) Steven J. Lade et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Optimal management of an ecosystem with an unknown threshold

(2011) Nicholas Brozović et al.   ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

A climate sensitivity estimate using Bayesian fusion of instrumental observations and an Earth System model

(2011) Roman Olson et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Energy policies avoiding a tipping point in the climate system

(2010) Olivier Bahn et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Probabilistic hindcasts and projections of the coupled climate, carbon cycle and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation system: a Bayesian fusion of century-scale observations with a simple model

(2010) Nathan M. Urban et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Ecology for bankers

(2008) Robert M. May et al.   NATURE

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA