Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

(2012) T. M. Lenton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Early Warning Signals for Critical Transitions: A Generalized Modeling Approach

(2012) Steven J. Lade et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Conditional Heteroscedasticity as a Leading Indicator of Ecological Regime Shifts

(2011) David A. Seekell et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Slowing Down in Spatially Patterned Ecosystems at the Brink of Collapse

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present

(2011) V. N. Livina et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Nonparametric testing of variability and trend in some climatic records

(2011) John M. Halley et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Early warnings of unknown nonlinear shifts: a nonparametric approach

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   ECOLOGY

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   ECOLOGY

PREDICTING CLIMATE TIPPING AS A NOISY BIFURCATION: A REVIEW

(2011) J. MICHAEL T. THOMPSON et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS

An independent test of methods of detecting system states and bifurcations in time-series data

(2011) V.N. Livina et al.   PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

(2011) Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.   Ecosphere

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Is the patch size distribution of vegetation a suitable indicator of desertification processes?

(2009) Fernando T. Maestre et al.   ECOLOGY

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

(2009) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology