The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land-use and dispersal scenarios

Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe

(2011) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   NATURE

How much do we overestimate future local extinction rates when restricting the range of occurrence data in climate suitability models?

(2010) Morgane Barbet-Massin et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The environmental limits to geographic range expansion in birds

(2010) Alex L. Pigot et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Dominant climate influences on North American bird distributions

(2010) Alberto Jiménez-Valverde et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Unravelling the structure of species extinction risk for predictive conservation science

(2010) T. M. Lee et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

The effect of the spatial configuration of habitat fragmentation on invasive spread

(2010) Noriko Kinezaki et al.   THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY

Dynamic distribution modelling: predicting the present from the past

(2009) Stephen G. Willis et al.   ECOGRAPHY

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change

(2009) José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Dangers of predicting bird species distributions in response to land-cover changes

(2009) Sara Vallecillo et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Dispersal in heterogeneous habitats: thresholds, spatial scales, and approximate rates of spread

(2009) Sebastian Dewhirst et al.   ECOLOGY

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change

(2009) Bernard W. T. Coetzee et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Reopening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds

(2009) M. B. Araujo et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change

(2009) B.J Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models

(2008) D. A Keith et al.   Biology Letters

Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling

(2008) Mathieu Marmion et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Challenging urban species diversity: contrasting phylogenetic patterns across plant functional groups in Germany

(2008) Sonja Knapp et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Potential Impacts of Climatic Change on European Breeding Birds

(2008) Brian Huntley et al.   PLoS One

Birds are tracking climate warming, but not fast enough

(2008) V. Devictor et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS