4.6 Article

Asymmetric distribution of aftershocks on large faults in California

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL
Volume 185, Issue 3, Pages 1288-1304

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.04995.x

Keywords

Persistence; memory; correlations; clustering; Spatial analysis; Earthquake dynamics; Earthquake interaction; forecasting; and prediction; Statistical seismology

Funding

  1. Southern California Earthquake Center
  2. United States Geological Survey [G09AP00019]
  3. National Science Foundation [EAR-0844103, ATM-0620838, EAR-0934871]
  4. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien [0934818, 0934426] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  5. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien
  6. Division Of Mathematical Sciences [0934871] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  7. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien
  8. Division Of Mathematical Sciences [0934628] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  9. Directorate For Geosciences
  10. Division Of Earth Sciences [0844103] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  11. Division Of Mathematical Sciences [0934426, 0934818] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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P>We examine the relations between spatial symmetry properties of earthquake patterns along faults in California (CA) and local velocity structure images to test the hypothesis that ruptures on bimaterial faults have statistically preferred propagation directions. The analysis employs seismic catalogues for 25 fault zones in CA. We distinguish between clustered and homogeneous parts of each catalogue, using a recently introduced earthquake cluster analysis, and examine asymmetry of offspring with respect to parent events within the clustered portion of each catalogue. The results indicate strong asymmetric patterns along large faults with prominent bimaterial interfaces (e.g. sections of the San Andreas Fault), with enhanced activities in the directions predicted for the local velocity contrasts, and absence of significant asymmetry along most other faults. Assuming the observed asymmetric properties of seismicity reflect the properties of the parent earthquake ruptures, the discussed methodology and results can be used to develop refined estimates of seismic shaking hazard associated with individual fault zones.

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