Journal
FOOD POLICY
Volume 37, Issue 1, Pages 41-57Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2011.10.003
Keywords
Organic food market; Scenario analysis; Network analysis; Uncertainty
Categories
Funding
- Commission of the European Community [FP6-FOOD-CT-2003-506358]
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Scenario analysis is a qualitative tool for strategic policy analysis that enables researchers and policymakers to support decision making, and a systemic analysis of the main determinants of a business or sector. In this study, a scenario analysis is developed regarding the future development of the market of organic food products in Europe. The scenario follows a participatory approach, exploiting potential interactions among the relevant driving forces, as selected by experts. Network analysis is used to identify the roles of driving forces in the different scenarios, and the results are discussed in comparison with the main findings from existing scenarios on the future development of the organic sector. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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