Journal
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY
Volume 179, Issue 1, Pages 273-292Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12113
Keywords
Crime; Football matches; Police displacement; Self-incapacitation
Funding
- Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (Veni) [451.12.005]
- ESRC [ES/H02123X/1] Funding Source: UKRI
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Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.
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