4.3 Article

Investment reluctance: irreversibility or imperfect capital markets?

Journal

EUROPEAN REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Volume 37, Issue 1, Pages 51-76

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbp046

Keywords

irreversibility; uncertainty; q model; capital market imperfections; D81; D92; O12

Funding

  1. Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)

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Low investment rates are a puzzling phenomenon particularly in transition economies with an urgent need for modernisation. The literature offers two alternative explanations: imperfect capital markets and investment reluctance due to real options effects. In this paper, we develop a generalised model that combines both aspects. The econometric implementation has the structure of a generalised Tobit model. Applying this model to German farm-level panel data, we show that ignoring real option effects may lead to erroneous conclusions in the context of empirical investment equations.

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