Journal
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION
Volume 140, Issue 9, Pages 1617-1631Publisher
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268811002366
Keywords
West Nile; risk mapping; target surveillance; weighted linear combination; Spain
Funding
- Ministry of Education
- Regional Government of Castile [367/2008]
- Complutense University of Madrid
- Regional Government of Leon (JCyL) [367/2008]
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The introduction and rapid spread of West Nile virus (WNV) into new areas such as the American continent, associated also with the severity of the disease in humans and equids has increased concerns regarding the need to better prevent and control future WNV incursions. WNV outbreaks in equids usually occur under specific climatic and environmental conditions and, typically, before detection of WNV cases in humans. Targeting surveillance strategies in areas and time periods identified as suitable for WNV outbreaks in equids may act as an early-warning system to prevent disease in both equids and humans. This study used a GIS-based framework to identify suitable areas and time periods for WNV outbreak occurrence in one of the most important areas of equid production in Spain, i.e. Castile and Leon. Methods and results presented here may help to improve the early detection and control of future WNV outbreaks in Spain and other regions.
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