4.5 Article

The effect of heterogeneous infectious period and contagiousness on the dynamics of Salmonella transmission in dairy cattle

Journal

EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION
Volume 136, Issue 11, Pages 1496-1510

Publisher

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268807000209

Keywords

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Funding

  1. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
  2. National Institute of Health
  3. Department of Health and Human Services [NO1-AI-30054]

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The objective of this study was to address the impact of heterogeneity of infectious period and contagiousness on Salmonella transmission dynamics in dairy cattle populations. We developed three deterministic SIR-type models with two basic infected stages (clinically and subclinically infected). In addition, model 2 included long-term shedders, which were defined as individuals with low contagiousness but Iona infectious period, and model 3 included super-shedders (individuals with high contagiousness and long infectious period). The simulated dynamics, basic reproduction number (R-0) and critical vaccination threshold were studied. Clinically infected individuals were the main force of infection transmission for models 1 and 2. Long-term shedders had a small impact on the transmission of the infection and on the estimated vaccination thresholds. The presence of super-shedders increases R-0 and decreases the effectiveness of population-wise strategies to reduce infection, making necessary the application of strategies that target this specific group.

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