4.6 Article

Cumulative Human Immunodeficiency Viremia, Antiretroviral Therapy, and Incident Myocardial Infarction

Journal

EPIDEMIOLOGY
Volume 30, Issue 1, Pages 69-74

Publisher

LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000930

Keywords

Marginal structural models; myocardial infarction; HIV; cohort studies; inverse probability weighting

Funding

  1. National Institutes of Health (Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems [CNICS]) [R24 AI067039]
  2. National Institutes of Health (CNICS myocardial infarction [MI] supplement) [R24S AI067039]
  3. National Institutes of Health (National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI)) [R01 HL126538, R56 AG057262]
  4. National Institutes of Health (University of Washington Center for AIDS Research National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)) [P30 AI027757]
  5. National Institutes of Health (Third Coast Center for AIDS Research NIAID) [P30AI117943, K01-HL-137557, P30 AI094189, U01 DA036935]
  6. American Heart Association [16FTF31200010]

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Background: People living with HIV are at risk of increased myocardial infarction (MI). Cumulative HIV viral load (VL) has been proposed as a better measure of HIV inflammation than other measures of VL, like baseline VL, but its associations with MI are not known. Methods: The multisite Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort includes clinical data and centrally adjudicated Ml with distinction between atheroembolic Ml (type 1) and Ml related to supply-demand mismatch (type 2). We examined CNICS participants who were not on antiretroviral therapy (ART) at enrollment. Cumulative VL (copy-days of virus) from 6 months after enrollment was estimated with a time-weighted sum using the trapezoidal rule. We modeled associations of cumulative and baseline VL with MI by type using marginal structural Cox models. We contrasted the 75%percentile of the VL distribution the 25% percentile. Results: Among 11,324 participants, 218 MIs occurred between 1996 and 2016..1 -huller cumulative VL was associated with risk of all MI (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI] =1.26, 2.36), type 1 MI (HR =1.23; 95% CI = 0.78, 1.96), and type 2 MI (HR = 2.52; 95% Cl = 1.74, 3.66). While off TART, cumulative VL had a stronger association with type 1 MI (HR = 2.13; 95% CI = 1.15, 3.94) than type 2 MI (FIR = 1.25; 95% CI = 0.70, 2.25). Baseline VL was associated with all MI (HR = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.28, 2.01), type 1 MI (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.26, 2.38), and type 2 MI = 1.51; 95% CI =1.10, 2.08). Conclusions: Higher cumulative and baseline VL is associated uitlr all MI, with a particularly strong association between cumulative VL and type 2 MI.

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