Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change

Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections

(2012) Thomas J. Bracegirdle et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Quantifying future climate change

(2012) Matthew Collins et al.   Nature Climate Change

Calibration Strategies: A Source of Additional Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections

(2011) Chun Kit Ho et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climate model genealogy

(2011) D. Masson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble

(2010) J. D. Annan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Bayesian multi-model projection of climate: bias assumptions and interannual variability

(2009) Christoph M. Buser et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models

(2009) Richard L. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

A framework for interpreting climate model outputs

(2009) Nadja A. Leith et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS