Survival rates and blood metal concentrations in two species of free-ranging North American sea ducks

Populations of several species of North American sea ducks have declined in the past few decades. Exposure to environmental contaminants, particularly metals, has been proposed as one of many possible factors contributing to these declines. Population dynamics are influenced by survival rates and breeding effort. In the present study, we examined the relationships between blood metal concentrations (Cd, Pb, Se, and Hg) and apparent annual survival and recapture probabilities (the latter as a surroaate for breeding effort) in adult females of two sea duck species, the king eider (Somateria spectabilis) and the white-winged scoter (Melanitta fusca), both of which have experienced declines in continental population during in recent years. No support was found for the hypothesis that exposure of white-winged scoters to these metals or of king eiders to Cd, Se, and Pb adversely affected probabilities of apparent annual survival. We detected a weak negative relationship (<(<(beta)over bar>)over cap> = -0.833) between Hg and annual survival of king ciders, but the 90% confidence interval of the slope estimate overlapped zero (-2.439 to +0.672). Recapture probabilities were unrelated to concentrations of Cd, Se, and Pb in either species. Evidence indicated that Hg concentrations affected recapture probability in white-winged scoters ((beta) over cap = -194.77; 90% confidence interval, -203.770 to -185.778). Mercury levels were low in both species, and blood samples may not adequately represent long-term exposure to Hg. Therefore, conclusions regarding Hg effects on these birds should be considered with caution.