Article
Chemistry, Applied
Jorge Ederson G. Santana, Henrique Douglas M. Coutinho, Jose Galberto M. da Costa, Jorge Marcell C. Menezes, Henio do Nascimento Melo Junior, Victor Feitosa Teixeira, Raimundo Nonato Pereira Teixeira
Summary: This research utilized a viable and low-cost spectrofluorimetric method to detect and quantify B vitamins in floral varieties of bee honey. The method showed linearity and precision, and the data were found to be normally distributed. Pearson's correlation test revealed strong positive correlations between the variables studied. Honey had positive results in detecting and quantifying vitamins B1 and B2 using the spectrofluorimetric method.
Article
Evolutionary Biology
Turid Everitt, Andreas Wallberg, Matthew J. Christmas, Anna Olsson, Wolfgang Hoffmann, Peter Neumann, Matthew T. Webster
Summary: Different genetic architectures underlie local adaptation in nature. Eastern African honey bees harbor two chromosomal inversions that likely govern adaptation to high-elevation habitats. In the Americas, honey bees are hybrids of European and African ancestries and adaptation to climate variation correlates with the proportion of these ancestries. The study sequenced the genomes of honey bees from high- and low-elevation populations in Colombia and found that highland bees had a higher proportion of European ancestry and exhibited genetic differentiation related to reproduction and sperm competition. Variation in European ancestry levels was correlated between highland honey bees and populations at higher latitudes in South America, suggesting adaptation to both latitude and elevation mediated by ancestry across the genome.
GENOME BIOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Gabriela Libardoni, Pedro Manuel Oliveira Janeiro Neves, Raiza Abati, Amanda Roberta Sampaio, Fabiana Martins Costa-Maia, Edgar de Souza Vismara, Everton Ricardi Lozano, Michele Potrich
Summary: This study evaluated the effects of commercial formulations of Bt products, Dipel and Xentari, on the survival and behavior of Africanized honey bees. The results showed that both products did not interfere with the survival of honey bees, but Xentari affected the vertical displacement behavior of newly emerged bees. Therefore, both products were found to be selective and safe for A. mellifera.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
(2021)
Article
Ecology
Kilmer Oliveira Soares, Celso Jose Bruno de Oliveira, Adriana Evangelista Rodrigues, Priscylla Carvalho Vasconcelos, Nubia Michelle Vieira da Silva, Octavio Gomes da Cunha Filho, Christopher Madden, Vanessa L. Hale
Summary: The study found that tetracycline exposure significantly affected the gut microbial composition and diversity of Africanized honey bees. Exposure to tetracycline resulted in decreased relative abundances of key core microbes, potentially negatively impacting bee health. Therefore, understanding the effects of agrochemicals on bees is crucial given their global ecological and economic importance as pollinators.
FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
(2021)
Article
Ecology
Daniela Zarate, Thiago G. Lima, Jude D. Poole, Erin Calfee, Ronald S. Burton, Joshua R. Kohn
Summary: The expansion of Africanized honey bees in the New World is influenced by multiple subspecies, with a higher African ancestry in the region spanning from Central America to Northern California. The feral honey bee population in San Diego exhibits diverse admixture and high genetic diversity, potentially serving as a valuable source for honey bee breeding.
ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Frederic McCune, Olivier Samson-Robert, Sabrina Rondeau, Madeleine Chagnon, Valerie Fournier
Summary: Providing clean water to honey bees can help reduce bee mortality associated with pesticides and improve colony health, but waterers did not reduce worker mortality or increase overall colony weight in the study. However, waterers provided bees with water containing fewer pesticides and reduced the risk of drowning compared to natural sources of water.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Entomology
Carine Mascena Peixoto, Suellen Oliveira Franca, Carize da Cruz Merces, Maria Emilene Correia-Oliveira, Carlos Alfredo Lopes de Carvalho
Summary: Pathogenic viruses affecting bee health, including ABPV and IAPV, were found in 75% of samples in AHB colonies in Brazil. The presence of multiple viral infections was observed in all Brazilian states evaluated, highlighting the need for frequent monitoring and appropriate colony management to prevent colony loss in Africanized honey bees.
JOURNAL OF APICULTURAL RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Biology
Victor H. Gonzalez, Kennan Oyen, Omar Avila, Rodulfo Ospina
Summary: There is a growing interest in assessing the critical thermal limits of bees, which can be influenced by various factors. This study found that the ramping rate affects the thermal limits of bees, while starvation time and cold stress do not have an impact.
JOURNAL OF THERMAL BIOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Entomology
Alejandro Perez-Morfi, Azucena Canto, Richard E. Feldman, Luis A. Medina-Medina, Humberto Estrella-Maldonado, Rosalina Rodriguez, Jose Luis Andrade
Summary: Floral diversity helps honey bees meet their nutritional requirements, but infection by Nosema spp. can hinder their ability to absorb nutrients. Nosemosis is widespread in commercial apiaries in the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico, but there have been no reports of colony deaths. This study suggests that natural stored bee bread in honey bee colonies from the Yucatan Peninsula may play a role in their survival and reducing Nosema spp. spore load.
ENTOMOLOGIA EXPERIMENTALIS ET APPLICATA
(2023)
Article
Entomology
Guisella Chaves Guevara, Juan Miguel Cordero-Solorzano, Ana Cubero Murillo, Bernal Leon
Summary: This study investigated the prevalence of 7 viruses in Costa Rican bees during different time periods. The results showed that most viruses had a higher prevalence in 2013-2014 compared to 2011, except for CBPV and KBV which significantly decreased. Significant statistical differences were observed in virus prevalences when comparing seasons, regions, and years.
JOURNAL OF APICULTURAL RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Ecology
Sofia Balbuena, Loreley Castelli, Pablo Zunino, Karina Antunez
Summary: Large-scale honey bee colony losses around the world are attributed to pesticide intoxication and the presence of pests and pathogens. Among pesticides, neonicotinoid insecticides pose the greatest threat. This study investigated the effects of chronic exposure to imidacloprid and Nosema ceranae on Africanized honey bees, and found altered immunity and high mortality rates. The study highlights the negative impact of these stress factors on honey bee colonies in Latin America.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Victor Manuel Tibata, Andres Sanchez, Evan Palmer-Young, Howard Junca, Victor Manuel Solarte, Shayne Madella, Fernando Ariza, Judith Figueroa, Miguel Corona
Summary: The global spread of the ectoparasitic mite Varroa destructor contributes to the increased number of colony losses in mite-susceptible European honey bee populations by promoting the spread and virulence of highly infectious honey bee viruses. Africanized honey bees (AHBs) in Central and South America are considered more resistant to Varroa compared to European honey bees, but the relationship between Varroa levels and honey bee virus spread in AHBs remains unclear.
Article
Agriculture, Dairy & Animal Science
Richard Bernstein, Manuel Du, Andreas Hoppe, Kaspar Bienefeld
Summary: This study evaluated different breeding program designs for the initiation of genomic selection in honey bees. It found that genotyping phenotyped BQ to establish a large reference population is key to successful genomic preselection of queens. Additionally, preselection of DPQ and inclusion of their genotypes in the genomic relationship matrix can maximize genetic gain in genomic honey bee breeding programs.
GENETICS SELECTION EVOLUTION
(2021)
Article
Fisheries
Rodrigo Aaron Burciaga, Gloria Ruiz-Guzman, Humberto Lanz-Mendoza, Indrikis Krams, Jorge Contreras-Garduno
Summary: This study demonstrates for the first time that honey bees have immune memory, which helps improve their survival rate and immune activity, and has potential applications in combating natural parasites.
DEVELOPMENTAL AND COMPARATIVE IMMUNOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Microbiology
Alvaro De la Mora, Nuria Morfin, Jose C. Tapia-Rivera, Jose O. Macias-Macias, Jose M. Tapia-Gonzalez, Francisca Contreras-Escareno, Tatiana Petukhova, Ernesto Guzman-Novoa
Summary: Africanized honey bees are negatively affected by the fungus Nosema ceranae and the neonicotinoid insecticide thiamethoxam. Thiamethoxam decreases the bees' survivorship while N. ceranae affects their immune response. The two stressors do not have a synergistic effect when the bees are exposed to both.
Article
Health Care Sciences & Services
Lori Ann Post, Elana T. Benishay, Charles B. Moss, Robert Leo Murphy, Chad J. Achenbach, Michael G. Ison, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Nadya Singh, Janine White, Azraa S. Chaudhury, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: This study aims to provide enhanced surveillance metrics for SARS-CoV-2 transmission to better understand the risk of explosive growth in each country and identify which countries are managing the pandemic successfully. Using longitudinal trend analysis, the study tracked COVID-19 transmission rates in Central Asia, revealing increasing infection rates and a negative trend primarily due to minimal restrictions in Russia.
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL INTERNET RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Health Care Sciences & Services
Lori Post, Emily Marogi, Charles B. Moss, Robert Leo Murphy, Michael G. Ison, Chad J. Achenbach, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Singh, Janine White, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the Middle East and North Africa region, with factors such as falling oil prices, wealth disparities, and large refugee populations exacerbating the disease burden. This study aims to provide advanced surveillance metrics for COVID-19 transmission and found that countries with the highest cumulative caseload include Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. Dynamic public health surveillance metrics can offer valuable insights for informing policies and control efforts until an effective vaccine is developed.
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL INTERNET RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Health Care Sciences & Services
Theresa B. Oehmke, Lori A. Post, Charles B. Moss, Tariq Z. Issa, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James F. Oehmke
Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected metropolitan areas across the United States differently, with some areas able to contain the virus early on, while others faced a second wave as colder weather approached. This study aims to provide advanced surveillance metrics for COVID-19 transmission in metropolitan areas to better understand and manage risks. Results show that Minneapolis, Chicago, and Detroit have the highest persistence effects in terms of new cases attributable to the prior week, indicating the importance of stringent regulations to control the second wave of the pandemic.
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL INTERNET RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Agronomy
Dong Hee Suh, Charles B. Moss
Summary: This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis of the agricultural sector's resource allocation and production decisions using differential systems and maximum likelihood estimation technique. The results demonstrate that the agricultural sector has limited flexibility in adjusting input demand in response to price changes, with substitutable relationships among labor, capital, and intermediate inputs. Land expansion changes the composition of labor and intermediate inputs, showing a shift from intensive to extensive margin. Livestock and crop supply exhibit substitutable relationships, allowing for alterations in output composition in response to relative price changes, with more land allocated to crop production by the agricultural sector.
Article
Health Care Sciences & Services
Lori Ann Post, Jasmine S. Lin, Charles B. Moss, Robert Leo Murphy, Michael G. Ison, Chad J. Achenbach, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Nadya Singh, Janine White, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact globally, with some countries in East Asia and the Pacific effectively controlling the virus while others still struggle. The study aims to provide advanced surveillance metrics to understand the risk of explosive growth in certain countries and those managing the pandemic successfully.
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL INTERNET RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Katsutoshi Mizuta, Sabine Grunwald, Michelle A. Phillips, Charles B. Moss, Allan R. Bacon, Wendell P. Cropper
Summary: This study analyzed the performance of DEA frontier models with different returns-to-scales and orientations in soil carbon sequestration efficiency through sensitivity analysis. Results showed that wetland soils had the lowest SCseq rates but highest SCI scores, revealing a distinct difference between soil carbon sequestration efficiency and rates. Output orientation was better at identifying efficient sites for the SCseq function than input orientation. The study also identified the preferred choice of RTSs for SCseq efficiency management.
ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Katsutoshi Mizuta, Sabine Grunwald, Allan R. Bacon, Wendell P. Cropper, Michelle A. Phillips, Charles B. Moss, Carlos A. Gonzalez-Benecke, Daniel Markewitz, Christopher M. Clingensmith, Xiong Xiong
Summary: Aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) is an important metric for evaluating ecosystem services. This study used relevant variables to calculate the efficiency scores of ecological production (ESEP) and aimed to identify factors influencing ANPP, assess the sensitivity of ESEP to different variables and settings, and analyze the relationship between local management and ESEP. The results showed that site index and precipitation factors were major factors affecting ANPP. The parsimonious ESEP models exhibited reduced score variances with an increase in input variables. Among the DEA settings, an output orientation with decreasing RTS produced the most progressive ESEP. The study also suggested that nutrient fertilization is an effective management strategy for achieving high ESEP. This benchmark approach can be applied to other ecological functions in different regions.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Theresa B. Oehmke, Charles B. Moss, James F. Oehmke
Summary: Despite the availability of vaccines, the Delta variant has led to a rapid increase in new COVID-19 cases in the US. While the Delta wave appears to have peaked nationally, some states and municipalities continue to see elevated numbers of new cases. Vigilant surveillance, particularly in metropolitan areas, is crucial to identify any potential reignition of the pandemic and ensure effective public health responses.
JMIR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SURVEILLANCE
(2022)
Letter
Medicine, General & Internal
Lori Ann Post, Alexander Lundberg, Charles B. Moss, Cynthia A. Brandt, Irene Quan, Ling Han, Maryann Mason
Article
Agricultural Economics & Policy
Ayuba Seidu, Gulcan Onel, Charles B. Moss
Summary: This study examines the impact of remittance inflows on out-farm migration of farm labor toward the nonfarm sector in developing countries. The authors find that remittances have two competing effects on out-farm migration, with the potential to decelerate the migration rates by supplementing farm income and consumption expenditures, and at the same time provide a source of investment in nonfarm activities that increase the rate of migration out of agriculture over time.
JOURNAL OF AGRIBUSINESS IN DEVELOPING AND EMERGING ECONOMIES
(2022)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Lori Post, Maryann Mason, Lauren Nadya Singh, Nicholas P. Wleklinski, Charles B. Moss, Hassan Mohammad, Tariq Z. Issa, Adesuwa Akhetuamhen, Cynthia A. Brandt, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: This study shows that the Federal Assault Weapons Ban did reduce public mass shootings, gun deaths, and injuries during its implementation period. It also suggests that continuing the ban could prevent future mass shootings and their associated casualties, highlighting the effectiveness of policies targeting assault weapons and large-capacity magazines.
JMIR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SURVEILLANCE
(2021)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Lori Post, Michael J. Boctor, Tariq Z. Issa, Charles B. Moss, Robert Leo Murphy, Chad J. Achenbach, Michael G. Ison, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Singh, Janine White, Sarah B. Welch, James F. Oehmke
Summary: The global COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted structures and communities worldwide, with varying responses across different regions. Advanced surveillance metrics are needed to help governments understand effective responses and monitor outbreaks. Canada has shown success in COVID-19 control but faces challenges in different provinces and territories, highlighting the importance of enhanced surveillance for proactive health policies.
JMIR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SURVEILLANCE
(2021)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Lori Post, Ramael O. Ohiomoba, Ashley Maras, Sean J. Watts, Charles B. Moss, Robert Leo Murphy, Michael G. Ison, Chad J. Achenbach, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Nadya Singh, Janine White, Azraa S. Chaudhury, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: The study aimed to provide additional surveillance metrics for tracking COVID-19 transmission more accurately in Latin America and the Caribbean. Results showed a reduction in speed, acceleration, and jerk in certain countries, but some still had high acceleration and jerk values, indicating potential concerns for the region.
JMIR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SURVEILLANCE
(2021)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Lori Post, Kasen Culler, Charles B. Moss, Robert L. Murphy, Chad J. Achenbach, Michael G. Ison, Danielle Resnick, Lauren Nadya Singh, Janine White, Michael J. Boctor, Sarah B. Welch, James Francis Oehmke
Summary: Analyzing the COVID-19 situation in Europe, this study identified several countries at risk of explosive growth and others effectively managing the pandemic. The findings suggest that the second wave of the pandemic may be slowing down, but rapid policy responses are still needed in some countries to prevent new outbreaks and increased transmission.
JMIR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SURVEILLANCE
(2021)
Article
Economics
Zahra Tayebi, Gulcan Onel, Charles B. Moss
Summary: This note emphasizes how misspecification of cross-section dependence structure in panel time-series data can lead to erroneous conclusions on farmland valuation. Using panel time-series data to combine sample information from time-series and cross-section dimensions can improve inference on the net present value hypothesis for farmland, but cross-section dependence must be addressed. Only the spatial dependence approach accurately characterizes cross-section dependence in the Iowa panel time-series data, highlighting the importance of model selection when using data with cross-section dependence.
APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Ecology
Simon Rabaa, Robert Wilken, Sylvie Geisendorf
Summary: Energy efficiency measures are crucial for combating climate change, but rebound effects may undermine their effectiveness. This study finds that prior energy efficiency behavior does not hinder subsequent climate-friendly behavior, which is determined by individual demographics and environmental attitudes.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
James R. Meldrum, Patricia A. Champ, Hannah Brenkert-Smith, Christopher M. Barth, Abby E. McConnell, Carolyn Wagner, Colleen Donovan
Summary: This study reassessed a previous study using a richer dataset and found that individuals with lower incomes are less likely to participate in cost-sharing programs, and even if they do participate, they contribute a lower share. This indicates potential economic equity concerns.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Daniel Rueb
Summary: This paper examines the distributional effects of the European Commission's Fit-for-55 package at the household level in seven EU countries and finds that a household-size specific lump-sum refund can mitigate the negative distributional effects of a carbon tax and reduce overall inequality.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Correction
Ecology
Anke Jacksohn, Miguel Angel Tovar Reanos, Frank Pothen, Katrin Rehdanz
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Pierre Chiaverina, Sophie Drogue, Florence Jacquet
Summary: This study investigates the impact of farmers' participation in different short food supply chains (SFSCs) on synthetic pesticide use and crop yields. The findings show that farmers who sell part of their crops through direct-to-consumer channels use significantly fewer synthetic pesticides compared to those who sell through long food supply chains. However, there is no evidence that farmers involved in direct-to-retailer channels use significantly fewer synthetic pesticides. Additionally, there is no indication that SFSC participation affects crop yields.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Kangyin Dong, Yang Liu, Jianda Wang, Xiucheng Dong
Summary: This study uses the generalized method of moments (GMM) model to explore the relationship between the digital economy and energy vulnerability in 110 economies. The findings suggest that the digital economy effectively reduces energy vulnerability, with digital infrastructure and social impact being the main contributors. Furthermore, the digital economy helps upgrade the industrial structure and financial development level, thereby reducing energy vulnerability. Additionally, the negative impact of the digital economy on energy vulnerability is more significant in regions with higher income levels.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Romain Espinosa, Nicolas Treich
Summary: This study examines a simple model of consumption of animals with altruistic behavior towards animals. The model reveals a public good issue, where the market equilibrium leads to low quality and excessive quantity of animal lives when they are not worth living. The implications of the findings and the significance of the modeling choices for future economic research on animal welfare are discussed.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Arianna Buratto, Lorenzo Lotti
Summary: Finding ways to steer consumers towards vegetarian and plant-based meals is important for reducing the environmental impact of diets. In this study, we investigated the use of nudges in restaurants to increase sales of vegetarian and plant-based dishes. We found that removing symbols for these dishes increased sales, while adding a low emissions symbol had no effect. However, when the nudge was made transparent through a statement, sales significantly increased. These findings support the use of nudges as cost-effective interventions to address unsustainable food consumption in the hospitality sector.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Emmanuel Paroissien, Timothy K. M. Beatty, Antoine Nebout
Summary: This article provides empirical evidence that the opportunity cost of time explains the frequency of household food waste. The study found that proxies for the opportunity cost of time were positively correlated with the probability of reporting wasting food.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Jefim Vogel, Gauthier Guerin, Daniel W. O'Neill, Julia K. Steinberger
Summary: This study explores the vulnerability of livelihoods to a reduction in economic output and introduces a novel analytic framework to describe their relationship. The study finds that the vulnerability is not inevitable but arises from insecurity in wage labor, adequate incomes, and pensions. These conditions are primarily due to profit maximization and neoliberal welfare and labor policies. The study identifies a range of interventions to overcome this vulnerability and make stringent environmental policies socially sustainable and politically palatable.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Franziska Dorn, Simone Maxand, Thomas Kneib
Summary: Understanding the interconnected nature of rising carbon emissions and income inequality is crucial to achieve social and ecological sustainability. The distributional copula model used in this study uncovers complex interdependencies that standard linear regression techniques might hide.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Darius Corbier, Frederic Gonand
Summary: The article investigates the macroeconomic channels of transmission of the low-carbon transition in two official scenarios for the French power system under different oil price scenarios. The results show that technical progress and substitution mechanisms can drive the decarbonization of the economy and growth, with energy demand and durable goods demand being the main transmission channels.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Gloria Amaris, Stepan Vesely, Stephane Hess, Christian A. Klockner
Summary: The study of human behavior is crucial for the development of policies for sustainability. It is important to consider the possibility of spillover effects in mathematical models, as exposure to related choices can influence subsequent behavior. Our study demonstrates the existence of these spillover effects and showcases the effectiveness of discrete choice models.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Sonia Almeida Neves, Antonio Cardoso Marques, Leonardo Batista de sa Lopes
Summary: This paper investigates the impact of European Union regulations on e-waste exports. The findings suggest that taxation is ineffective in reducing e-waste exports and may even increase them. Additionally, high dependence on foreign raw materials and sub-standard waste collection systems contribute to the increase in e-waste exports. Therefore, investing in e-waste collection facilities can better utilize the valuable resources in this waste.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)
Article
Ecology
Gregor Semieniuk
Summary: Efforts to decouple economic growth from resource use and negative environmental impacts have yielded inconclusive results, partially due to the uncertainties in historical measurement arising from definitional changes to GDP. This study examines the impact of GDP vintages on decoupling results and finds that a significant number of countries switch between relative decoupling and recoupling, and that GDP vintages also affect environmental Kuznets curve results and the decline in global energy intensity. The inconsistencies in economic measurement introduce ambiguity into historical decoupling evidence and model projections into the future.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2024)