4.7 Article

Early warning thresholds for partially saturated slopes in volcanic ashes

Journal

COMPUTERS AND GEOTECHNICS
Volume 49, Issue -, Pages 79-89

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.compgeo.2012.11.002

Keywords

Partially saturated soil; Volcanic ash; Slope stability; Early warning threshold; Rain infiltration; Seepage analysis

Funding

  1. European Commission [226479, PERG06-GA-2009-256426]
  2. Swiss Competence Center Environment and Sustainability, TRAMM 2 Project

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Rainfall-induced landslides in steep soil slopes of volcanic origin are a major threat to human lives and infrastructure. In the context of constructing early warning systems in regions where extensive data on landslide occurrences and associated rainfall are inexistent, physically-based tools offer the possibility to establish thresholds for measurable field quantities. In this paper, a combined finite element infinite slope model is presented to study the transient hydraulic response of volcanic ash slopes to a series of rainfall events and to estimate seasonal safety factors. Furthermore, analytical considerations of partially saturated infinite slopes are made to define capillary stress thresholds for a landslide early warning system. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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