Disconcerting learning on climate sensitivity and the uncertain future of uncertainty

Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations

(2012) Julienne C. Stroeve et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice

(2011) S. Tietsche et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Bifurcations leading to summer Arctic sea ice loss

(2011) Dorian S. Abbot et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Uncertainty and the conditional variance

(2010) Jiahua Chen et al.   STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable

(2009) A. Hannart et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Negative learning

(2008) Michael Oppenheimer et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Learning about climate change and implications for near-term policy

(2008) Mort Webster et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

An Assessment of the Primary Sources of Spread of Global Warming Estimates from Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Models

(2008) Jean-Louis Dufresne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes

(2008) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Geoscience

Anthropogenic climate change: Scientific uncertainties and moral dilemmas

(2008) Rafaela Hillerbrand et al.   PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA

Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties

(2008) Michael Ghil et al.   PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA