Using seasonal hindcasts to understand the origin of the equatorial cold tongue bias in CGCMs and its impact on ENSO

Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?

(2011) Anthony G. Barnston et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models – why is it so hard?

(2011) T. N. Palmer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTROPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMICS

A new tool for evaluating the physics of coupled atmosphere–ocean variability in nature and in general circulation models

(2010) William H. G. Roberts et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

How well do coupled models replicate ocean energetics relevant to ENSO?

(2010) Jaclyn N. Brown et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Part II: using AMIP runs to understand the heat flux feedback mechanisms

(2010) James Lloyd et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

An ENSO stability analysis. Part II: results from the twentieth and twenty-first century simulations of the CMIP3 models

(2010) Seon Tae Kim et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

How are seasonal prediction skills related to models’ performance on mean state and annual cycle?

(2010) June-Yi Lee et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Surface Layer Heat Balance in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean on Interannual Time Scales: Influence of Local versus Remote Wind Forcing*

(2010) Xuebin Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

ENSO Model Validation Using Wavelet Probability Analysis

(2010) Samantha Stevenson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models

(2009) James Lloyd et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Are historical records sufficient to constrain ENSO simulations?

(2009) Andrew T. Wittenberg   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Prospects for predicting two flavors of El Niño

(2009) Harry H. Hendon et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

(2009) A. Weisheimer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Atmosphere Feedbacks during ENSO in a Coupled GCM with a Modified Atmospheric Convection Scheme

(2009) Eric Guilyardi et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Inverse Effect of Annual-Mean State and Annual-Cycle Changes on ENSO

(2009) Soon-Il An et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

An ERA40-based atmospheric forcing for global ocean circulation models

(2009) Laurent Brodeau et al.   OCEAN MODELLING

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

(2009) F. J. Doblas-Reyes et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Understanding El Niño in Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models: Progress and Challenges

(2008) Eric Guilyardi et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

On the origin of equatorial Atlantic biases in coupled general circulation models

(2008) Ingo Richter et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The Tropical Eastern Pacific Seasonal Cycle: Assessment of Errors and Mechanisms in IPCC AR4 Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models*

(2008) Simon P. de Szoeke et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The ECMWF Ocean Analysis System: ORA-S3

(2008) Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW