Uncertainties in assessing the effect of climate change on agriculture using model simulation and uncertainty processing methods

Influence of likelihood function choice for estimating crop model parameters using the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation method

(2010) Jianqiang He et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

The global warming debate

(2010) ShaoWu Wang   CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection

(2009) Fulu Tao et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Regional crop modelling in Europe: The impact of climatic conditions and farm characteristics on maize yields

(2009) Pytrik Reidsma et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

Impact assessment of climate change on rice production in Asia in comprehensive consideration of process/parameter uncertainty in general circulation models

(2009) Yuji Masutomi et al.   AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT

Methods and Resources for Climate Impacts Research

(2009) Andrew Juan Challinor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Modelling the sensitivity of wheat growth and water balance to climate change in Southeast Australia

(2009) Jing Wang et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Development and test of a crop growth model for application within a Global Change decision support system

(2009) V.I.S. Lenz-Wiedemann et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Multivariate global sensitivity analysis for dynamic crop models

(2009) Matieyendou Lamboni et al.   FIELD CROPS RESEARCH

Crops and climate change: progress, trends, and challenges in simulating impacts and informing adaptation

(2009) A. J. Challinor et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL BOTANY

Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate

(2009) P. J. Gregory et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL BOTANY

Elevated CO2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations: six important lessons from FACE

(2009) Andrew D. B. Leakey et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL BOTANY

Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling

(2008) Roberta-Serena Blasone et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

Non-stationary thermal time accumulation reduces the predictability of climate change effects on agriculture

(2008) Tianyi Zhang et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Potential predictability of crop yield using an ensemble climate forecast by a regional circulation model

(2008) Guillermo A. Baigorria et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Use of a crop model ensemble to quantify CO2 stimulation of water-stressed and well-watered crops

(2008) A.J. Challinor et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis

(2008) Fulu Tao et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis of a large-scale crop model for paddy rice: Application of a Bayesian approach

(2008) T IIZUMI et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

Reliability and input-data induced uncertainty of the EPIC model to estimate climate change impact on sorghum yields in the U.S. Great Plains

(2008) Xianzeng Niu et al.   AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT

Ensemble yield simulations: crop and climate uncertainties, sensitivity to temperature and genotypic adaptation to climate change

(2008) AJ Challinor et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation

(2008) David B Lobell et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields

(2008) C. Tebaldi et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Needs for Food Security in 2030

(2008) D. B. Lobell et al.   SCIENCE

Crop yield reduction in the tropics under climate change: Processes and uncertainties

(2007) A.J. Challinor et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY