4.6 Article

Potential effects of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics in Korea

Journal

PLOS ONE
Volume 13, Issue 6, Pages -

Publisher

PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0199205

Keywords

-

Funding

  1. Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) - the Ministry of Education [2016R1D1A1B03934427]
  2. National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant - the Korean government (MSIP) [20161402]
  3. National Research Foundation of Korea [2016R1D1A1B03934427] Funding Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)

Ask authors/readers for more resources

Dengue fever is a major international public health concern, with more than 55% of the world population at risk of infection. Recent climate changes related to global warming have increased the potential risk of domestic outbreaks of dengue in Korea. In this study, we develop a two-strain dengue model associated with climate-dependent parameters based on Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. We assess the potential risks of dengue outbreaks by means of the vector capacity and intensity under various RCP scenarios. A sensitivity analysis of the temperature-dependent parameters is performed to explore the effects of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics. Our results demonstrate that a higher temperature significantly enhances the potential threat of domestic dengue outbreaks in Korea. Furthermore, we investigate the effects of countermeasures on the cumulative incidence of humans and vectors. The current main control measures (comprising only travel restrictions) for infected humans in Korea are not as effective as combined control measures (travel restrictions and vector control), dramatically reducing the possibilities of dengue outbreaks.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.6
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

Article Mathematics, Applied

Stochastic methods for epidemic models: An application to the 2009 H1N1 influenza outbreak in Korea

Hyojung Lee, Sunmi Lee, Chang Hyeong Lee

APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTATION (2016)

Article Biology

A multi-time-scale analysis of chemical reaction networks: II. Stochastic systems

Xingye Kan, Chang Hyeong Lee, Hans G. Othmer

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY (2016)

Article Physics, Multidisciplinary

The daily computed weighted averaging basic reproduction number R0,k,ωn for MERS-CoV in South Korea

Darae Jeong, Chang Hyeong Lee, Yongho Choi, Junseok Kim

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS (2016)

Article Chemistry, Multidisciplinary

Chronic Inflammation in the Epidermis: A Mathematical Model

Shinji Nakaoka, Sota Kuwahara, Chang Hyeong Lee, Hyejin Jeon, Junho Lee, Yasuhiro Takeuchi, Yangjin Kim

APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL (2016)

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

Epidemic Spreading in Complex Networks with Resilient Nodes: Applications to FMD

Pilwon Kim, Chang Hyeong Lee

COMPLEXITY (2018)

Article Engineering, Electrical & Electronic

B1+ shimming with SAR reduction in high-field MRI

H. W. Son, Y. K. Cho, A. Gopinath, J. T. Vaughan, C. H. Lee, H. Yoo

JOURNAL OF ELECTROMAGNETIC WAVES AND APPLICATIONS (2013)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Assessment of optimal strategies in a two-patch dengue transmission model with seasonality

Jung Eun Kim, Hyojung Lee, Chang Hyeong Lee, Sunmi Lee

PLOS ONE (2017)

Article Mathematics, Applied

Effects of climate change on Plasmodium vivax malaria transmission dynamics: A mathematical modeling approach

Jung Eun Kim, Yongin Choi, Chang Hyeong Lee

APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTATION (2019)

Article Engineering, Chemical

A Two-Patch Mathematical Model for Temperature-Dependent Dengue Transmission Dynamics

Jung Eun Kim, Yongin Choi, James Slghee Kim, Sunmi Lee, Chang Hyeong Lee

PROCESSES (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Assessment of Social Distancing for Controlling COVID-19 in Korea: An Age-Structured Modeling Approach

Yongin Choi, James Slghee Kim, Heejin Choi, Hyojung Lee, Chang Hyeong Lee

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Vaccination Prioritization Strategies for COVID-19 in Korea: A Mathematical Modeling Approach

Yongin Choi, James Slghee Kim, Jung Eun Kim, Heejin Choi, Chang Hyeong Lee

Summary: When the vaccine supply is limited, implementing age-dependent vaccination priority strategy is important to reduce the number of deaths and incidence of infection of COVID-19. According to the study, prioritizing vaccination for the age groups with the highest transmission rates can effectively reduce the incidence, depending on the level of social distancing.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH (2021)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

The economic impact of COVID-19 interventions: A mathematical modeling approach

Jung Eun Kim, Heejin Choi, Yongin Choi, Chang Hyeong Lee

Summary: Vaccination and social distancing are important strategies for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. The speed of vaccination rollout and the level of social distancing determine the most effective control strategies to minimize economic costs and manage the number of cases.

FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH (2022)

Article Chemistry, Multidisciplinary

An Analytic Approach to a Stochastic Enzyme Kinetic Model

Hyojung Lee, Chang Hyeong Lee

MATCH-COMMUNICATIONS IN MATHEMATICAL AND IN COMPUTER CHEMISTRY (2015)

Article Chemistry, Multidisciplinary

Fast Probability Generating Function Method for Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks

Pilwon Kim, Chang Hyeong Lee

MATCH-COMMUNICATIONS IN MATHEMATICAL AND IN COMPUTER CHEMISTRY (2014)

No Data Available