Quantitative prediction of fracture distribution using geomechanical method within Kuqa Depression, Tarim Basin, NW China

Understanding and predicting the development and distribution of tectonic fractures in the super-deep tight sandstone reservoir are important for both gas exploration and exploitation activities in Kuqa Depression. We analyzed the characteristics of regional structural evolution and paleotectonic stress field setting. A reasonable geological model of the research area was built based on an interpretation of the geological structure, a test for rock mechanics, and experiment on acoustic emission. Thereafter, a three-dimensional paleotectonic stress field during the Late Himalayan movement was simulated by the finite element method. Composite rock failure criterion and geomechanical models between fracture density, aperture, strike and strain energy density were used to determine the quantitative development of fractures and predict zones that are prone to fracture development. Areas with well-developed tectonic fractures are mainly controlled by the tectonic stress field and elastic strain energy density, typically located in the fold limbs, fault zones and locations of changes in the orientation of fault. In turn, factors of faults, the lithology, depth and curvature control the development and distribution of tectonic fractures in the tight sandstone. The overall simulated results match well with core observation and FMI (Formation MicroScanner Image) results both in the whole geometry and fracture distribution. This evolutionary model of the structures present to us is a distinct and intuitive top-popup fold with low amplitude and relatively low-density fractures in the top, has only experienced pre-folding stage and strong folding stage, and has not yet been developed to vertical uplift stage.