4.7 Article

Why does tropical convective available potential energy (CAPE) increase with warming?

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 42, Issue 23, Pages 10429-10437

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL066199

Keywords

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Funding

  1. National Science Foundation [DGE1106400]
  2. Scientific Discovery through Advanced Computing (SciDAC) program -U.S. Department of Energy Office of Advanced Scientific Computing Research
  3. Office of Biological and Environmental Research [DE-AC02-05CH11231]
  4. Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy [DE-AC02-05CH11231]

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Recent work has produced a theory for tropical convective available potential energy (CAPE) that highlights the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling of the atmosphere's saturation deficit as a driver of increases in CAPE with warming. Here we test this so-called zero-buoyancy theory for CAPE by modulating the saturation deficit of cloud-resolving simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium in two ways: changing the sea surface temperature (SST) and changing the environmental relative humidity (RH). For earthlike and warmer SSTs, undilute parcel buoyancy in the lower troposphere is insensitive to increasing SST because of a countervailing CC scaling that balances the increase in the saturation deficit; however, buoyancy increases dramatically with SST in the upper troposphere. Conversely, in the RH experiment, undilute buoyancy throughout the troposphere increases monotonically with decreasing RH. We show that the zero-buoyancy theory successfully predicts these contrasting behaviors, building confidence that it describes the fundamental physics of CAPE and its response to warming.

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