Large-scale external validation and comparison of prognostic models: an application to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Annual acknowledgement of BMC Medicine manuscript reviewers

(2016) Sabina Alam   BMC Medicine

Prognostic assessment in COPD without lung function: the B-AE-D indices

(2016) Lucas Boeck et al.   EUROPEAN RESPIRATORY JOURNAL

Fluticasone furoate and vilanterol and survival in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with heightened cardiovascular risk (SUMMIT): a double-blind randomised controlled trial

(2016) Jørgen Vestbo et al.   LANCET

Network meta-analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations

(2015) Rafael Sauter et al.   BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL

Ranking treatments in frequentist network meta-analysis works without resampling methods

(2015) Gerta Rücker et al.   BMC Medical Research Methodology

Major dietary patterns and risk of frailty in older adults: a prospective cohort study

(2015) Luz M León-Muñoz et al.   BMC Medicine

A new framework to enhance the interpretation of external validation studies of clinical prediction models

(2015) Thomas P.A. Debray et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Mortality prediction in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease comparing the GOLD 2007 and 2011 staging systems: a pooled analysis of individual patient data

(2015) Joan B Soriano et al.   Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Predictive score for mortality in patients with COPD exacerbations attending hospital emergency departments

(2014) José M Quintana et al.   BMC Medicine

Personalized medicine: risk prediction, targeted therapies and mobile health technology

(2014) Daniel F Hayes et al.   BMC Medicine

Risk Prediction Models for Incident Primary Cutaneous Melanoma

(2014) Kylie Vuong et al.   JAMA Dermatology

Assessing Risk Prediction Models Using Individual Participant Data From Multiple Studies

(2013) Lisa Pennells et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Mechanisms and impact of the frequent exacerbator phenotype in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

(2013) Jadwiga A Wedzicha et al.   BMC Medicine

Support of personalized medicine through risk-stratified treatment recommendations - an environmental scan of clinical practice guidelines

(2013) Tsung Yu et al.   BMC Medicine

Prognosis Research Strategy (PROGRESS) 3: Prognostic Model Research

(2013) Ewout W. Steyerberg et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Comorbidities and Risk of Mortality in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

(2012) Miguel Divo et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE

Global Strategy for the Diagnosis, Management, and Prevention of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

(2012) Jørgen Vestbo et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE

The role of copeptin as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for risk stratification in the emergency department

(2012) Christian H Nickel et al.   BMC Medicine

Multicomponent indices to predict survival in COPD: the COCOMICS study

(2012) Jose M. Marin et al.   EUROPEAN RESPIRATORY JOURNAL

How to Use an Article Reporting a Multiple Treatment Comparison Meta-analysis

(2012) Edward J. Mills et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Prognostic Indices for Older Adults

(2012) Lindsey C. Yourman et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Large-scale international validation of the ADO index in subjects with COPD: an individual subject data analysis of 10 cohorts

(2012) Milo A Puhan et al.   BMJ Open

Accounting for correlation in network meta-analysis with multi-arm trials

(2012) A. J. Franchini et al.   Research Synthesis Methods

Indirect and mixed-treatment comparison, network, or multiple-treatments meta-analysis: many names, many benefits, many concerns for the next generation evidence synthesis tool

(2012) Georgia Salanti   Research Synthesis Methods

Perceived morbidity and community burden after a Chikungunya outbreak: the TELECHIK survey, a population-based cohort study

(2011) Patrick Gérardin et al.   BMC Medicine

Developing risk prediction models for type 2 diabetes: a systematic review of methodology and reporting

(2011) Gary S Collins et al.   BMC Medicine

Risk Prediction Models for Hospital Readmission

(2011) Devan Kansagara et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

The health, activity, dyspnea, obstruction, age, and hospitalization: Prognostic score for stable COPD patients

(2011) Cristóbal Esteban et al.   RESPIRATORY MEDICINE

Development of the i-BODE: Validation of the incremental shuttle walking test within the BODE index

(2011) Johanna E.A. Williams et al.   RESPIRATORY MEDICINE

Linear inference for mixed treatment comparison meta-analysis: A two-stage approach

(2011) Guobing Lu et al.   Research Synthesis Methods

External Validity of Risk Models: Use of Benchmark Values to Disentangle a Case-Mix Effect From Incorrect Coefficients

(2010) Y. Vergouwe et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Incidence, detection, and tumour stage of breast cancer in a cohort of Italian women with negative screening mammography report recommending early (short-interval) rescreen

(2010) Alessandra Ravaioli et al.   BMC Medicine

BODE-Index vs HADO-Score in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Which one to use in general practice?

(2010) Cristóbal Esteban et al.   BMC Medicine

What Makes a Good Predictor?

(2010) John P. A. Ioannidis et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Graphical methods and numerical summaries for presenting results from multiple-treatment meta-analysis: an overview and tutorial

(2010) Georgia Salanti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Derivation and Validation of a Composite Index of Severity in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

(2009) Rupert C. Jones et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE

Assessment of Claims of Improved Prediction Beyond the Framingham Risk Score

(2009) Ioanna Tzoulaki   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

A case study of multiple-treatments meta-analysis demonstrates that covariates should be considered

(2009) Georgia Salanti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Expansion of the prognostic assessment of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: the updated BODE index and the ADO index

(2009) Milo A Puhan et al.   LANCET

A predictive model of hospitalisation and death from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

(2009) Stuart Schembri et al.   RESPIRATORY MEDICINE

Severe exacerbations and BODE index: Two independent risk factors for death in male COPD patients

(2009) Juan José Soler-Cataluña et al.   RESPIRATORY MEDICINE

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Index for Health Outcomes in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

(2008) Andrew Briggs   ARCHIVES OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Complex chronic comorbidities of COPD

(2008) L. M. Fabbri et al.   EUROPEAN RESPIRATORY JOURNAL