Integrating uncertainty into public energy research and development decisions

Energy technology R&D portfolio management: Modeling uncertain returns and market diffusion

(2016) John E. Bistline   APPLIED ENERGY

Expert views - and disagreements - about the potential of energy technology R&D

(2016) Laura Diaz Anadon et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Balancing solar PV deployment and RD&D: A comprehensive framework for managing innovation uncertainty in electricity technology investment planning

(2016) Nidhi R. Santen et al.   RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies

(2016) Gregory F. Nemet et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Expert elicitation survey on future wind energy costs

(2016) Ryan Wiser et al.   Nature Energy

Characterizing the effects of policy instruments on the future costs of carbon capture for coal power plants

(2015) Gregory F. Nemet et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Future costs of key low-carbon energy technologies: Harmonization and aggregation of energy technology expert elicitation data

(2015) Erin Baker et al.   ENERGY POLICY

The effects of expert selection, elicitation design, and R&D assumptions on experts' estimates of the future costs of photovoltaics

(2015) Elena Verdolini et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Decision frameworks and the investment in R&D

(2015) Erin Baker et al.   ENERGY POLICY

The differential impact of low-carbon technologies on climate change mitigation cost under a range of socioeconomic and climate policy scenarios

(2015) Robert Barron et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Special issue on defining robust energy R&D portfolios

(2015) Erin Baker et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Sensitivity to energy technology costs: A multi-model comparison analysis

(2015) Valentina Bosetti et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Policy advice: Use experts wisely

(2015) William J. Sutherland et al.   NATURE

Our Knowledge of the World is Often Not Simple: Policymakers Should Not Duck that Fact, But Should Deal with It

(2015) M. Granger Morgan   RISK ANALYSIS

The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?

(2015) Roger M. Cooke   RISK ANALYSIS

How much can nuclear power reduce climate mitigation cost? – Critical parameters and sensitivity

(2015) Mariliis Lehtveer et al.   Energy Strategy Reviews

The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies

(2014) Elmar Kriegler et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy

(2014) M. G. Morgan   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Evaluating sustainability of biofuels feedstocks: A multi-objective framework for supporting decision making

(2013) Jadwiga R. Ziolkowska   BIOMASS & BIOENERGY

Electric sector investments under technological and policy-related uncertainties: a stochastic programming approach

(2013) John E. Bistline et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Modeling the future costs of carbon capture using experts' elicited probabilities under policy scenarios

(2013) Gregory F. Nemet et al.   ENERGY

Going electric: Expert survey on the future of battery technologies for electric vehicles

(2013) Michela Catenacci et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Advanced biofuels: Future perspectives from an expert elicitation survey

(2013) Giulia Fiorese et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Probabilistic decision model of wind power investment and influence of green power market

(2013) Michael Gillenwater   ENERGY POLICY

An expert elicitation of climate, energy and economic uncertainties

(2013) Will Usher et al.   ENERGY POLICY

The power of biomass: Experts disclose the potential for success of bioenergy technologies

(2013) Giulia Fiorese et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Trapped between two tails: trading off scientific uncertainties via climate targets

(2013) Derek Lemoine et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Expert assessments of the cost of light water small modular reactors

(2013) A. Abdulla et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Management of Energy Technology for Sustainability: How to Fund Energy Technology Research and Development

(2013) Erin Baker et al.   PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

Uncertainty in Climate Change Modeling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be of Help?

(2013) Barry Anderson et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Water–CO2 trade-offs in electricity generation planning

(2013) Mort Webster et al.   Nature Climate Change

The future prospect of PV and CSP solar technologies: An expert elicitation survey

(2012) Valentina Bosetti et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Expert Judgments about RD&D and the Future of Nuclear Energy

(2012) Laura D. Anadón et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Expert elicitations of energy penalties for carbon capture technologies

(2012) Karen E. Jenni et al.   International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control

Demand Subsidies Versus R&D: Comparing the Uncertain Impacts of Policy on a Pre-commercial Low-carbon Energy Technology

(2011) Gregory F. Nemet et al.   ENERGY JOURNAL

Expert assessments of retrofitting coal-fired power plants with carbon dioxide capture technologies

(2011) Timothy S. Chung et al.   ENERGY POLICY

Anticipating Climate Threshold Damages

(2011) Alexander Lorenz et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING & ASSESSMENT

Climate change and optimal energy technology R&D policy

(2011) Erin Baker et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

Cellulosic biofuels: Expert views on prospects for advancement

(2010) Erin Baker et al.   ENERGY

Carbon capture and storage: combining economic analysis with expert elicitations to inform climate policy

(2009) Erin Baker et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Expert Assessments of Future Photovoltaic Technologies

(2008) Aimee E. Curtright et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY