Journal
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
Volume 14, Issue 11, Pages -Publisher
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14111381
Keywords
air pollution; interaction; mortality; Guangzhou; generalized additive model
Funding
- Medical Science and Technology Research Foundation of Guangdong Province [A2016250]
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Air pollution is now a significant environmental issue in China. To better understand the health impacts of ambient air pollution, this study investigated the potential interaction between PM10 and NO2 on mortality in Guangzhou, China. Time series data of daily non-accidental mortality and concentrations of PM10 and NO2 from 2006 to 2010 were collected. Based on generalized additive model, we developed two models (bivariate model and stratified model) to explore the interaction both qualitatively and quantitatively. At lag of 0-2 days, greater interactive effects between PM10 and NO2 were presented in the graphs. Positive modified effects were also found between the two pollutants on total non-accidental death and cardiovascular death. When the NO2 concentration was at a high level (>76.14 g/m(3)), PM10 showed the greatest excess relative risk percentage (ERR%) for total non-accidental mortality (0.46, 95% CI: 0.13-0.79) and cardiovascular disease mortality (0.61, 95% CI: 0.06-1.16) for each 10 g/m(3) increase. During the period of high PM10 concentration (>89.82 g/m(3)), NO2 demonstrated its strongest effect for total non-accidental mortality (ERR%: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.42-1.42) and cardiovascular disease mortality (ERR%: 1.20, 95% CI: 0.38-2.03). Our results suggest a positive interaction between PM10 and NO2 on non-accidental mortality in Guangzhou.
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