The subtle origins of surface-warming hiatuses

Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus

(2016) Wei Liu et al.   Nature Communications

Improving estimates of Earth's energy imbalance

(2016) Gregory C. Johnson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models

(2015) Doug M. Smith et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends

(2015) Jochem Marotzke et al.   NATURE

Pacific origin of the abrupt increase in Indian Ocean heat content during the warming hiatus

(2015) Sang-Ki Lee et al.   Nature Geoscience

The albedo of Earth

(2015) Graeme L. Stephens et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating

(2015) V. Nieves et al.   SCIENCE

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Internal variability of Earth’s energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models

(2014) M D Palmer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012

(2014) Richard P. Allan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Top-of-atmosphere radiative contribution to unforced decadal global temperature variability in climate models

(2014) Patrick T. Brown et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Surface warming hiatus caused by increased heat uptake across multiple ocean basins

(2014) S. S. Drijfhout et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Earth’s Energy Imbalance

(2014) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Varying planetary heat sink led to global-warming slowdown and acceleration

(2014) X. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

Strengthening of ocean heat uptake efficiency associated with the recent climate hiatus

(2013) Masahiro Watanabe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Distinctive climate signals in reanalysis of global ocean heat content

(2013) Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate Drift in the CMIP5 Models*

(2013) Alexander Sen Gupta et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5

(2013) Marco A. Giorgetta et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

An apparent hiatus in global warming?

(2013) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   Earths Future

World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010

(2012) S. Levitus et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Land–Ocean Warming Contrast over a Wide Range of Climates: Convective Quasi-Equilibrium Theory and Idealized Simulations

(2012) Michael P. Byrne et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Transient Climate Response in a Two-Layer Energy-Balance Model. Part I: Analytical Solution and Parameter Calibration Using CMIP5 AOGCM Experiments

(2012) O. Geoffroy et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A new, lower value of total solar irradiance: Evidence and climate significance

(2011) Greg Kopp et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Persistently Variable "Background" Stratospheric Aerosol Layer and Global Climate Change

(2011) S. Solomon et al.   SCIENCE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Warming of Global Abyssal and Deep Southern Ocean Waters between the 1990s and 2000s: Contributions to Global Heat and Sea Level Rise Budgets*

(2010) Sarah G. Purkey et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Shape of Things to Come: Why Is Climate Change So Predictable?

(2009) Marcia B. Baker et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Consistency of modelled and observed temperature trends in the tropical troposphere

(2008) B. D. Santer et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Toward Optimal Closure of the Earth's Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation Budget

(2008) Norman G. Loeb et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE