Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soils

Impacts of warming and elevated CO2on a semi-arid grassland are non-additive, shift with precipitation, and reverse over time

(2016) K. E. Mueller et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The sensitivity of water availability to changes in the aridity index and other factors-A probabilistic analysis in the Budyko space

(2016) L. Gudmundsson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Seasonal responses of terrestrial ecosystem water-use efficiency to climate change

(2016) Mengtian Huang et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Key knowledge and data gaps in modelling the influence of CO 2 concentration on the terrestrial carbon sink

(2016) T.A.M. Pugh et al.   JOURNAL OF PLANT PHYSIOLOGY

Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying

(2016) P. C. D. Milly et al.   Nature Climate Change

Revisiting the concept of a symmetric index of agreement for continuous datasets

(2016) Gregory Duveiller et al.   Scientific Reports

Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing Environment: A Dominant Role for Water

(2015) Carl J. Bernacchi et al.   Annual Review of Plant Biology

Evaluation of multiple regional climate models for summer climate extremes over East Asia

(2015) Changyong Park et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Introducing a probabilistic Budyko framework

(2015) P. Greve et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Increases in the annual range of soil water storage at northern middle and high latitudes under global warming

(2015) Wen-Ying Wu et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Characterizing differences in precipitation regimes of extreme wet and dry years: implications for climate change experiments

(2015) Alan K. Knapp et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments

(2015) Richard J. Norby et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Climate-driven diversity loss in a grassland community

(2015) Susan P. Harrison et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global biogeography of human infectious diseases

(2015) Kris A. Murray et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

On the assessment of aridity with changes in atmospheric CO2

(2015) Michael L. Roderick et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Using ecosystem experiments to improve vegetation models

(2015) Belinda E. Medlyn et al.   Nature Climate Change

Water-use efficiency and transpiration across European forests during the Anthropocene

(2015) D. C. Frank et al.   Nature Climate Change

Using an optimality model to understand medium and long-term responses of vegetation water use to elevated atmospheric CO2concentrations

(2015) Stanislaus J. Schymanski et al.   AoB Plants

Shifts in plant functional types have time-dependent and regionally variable impacts on dryland ecosystem water balance

(2015) John B. Bradford et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Ecohydrology of Adjacent Sagebrush and Lodgepole Pine Ecosystems: The Consequences of Climate Change and Disturbance

(2014) John B. Bradford et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Ecohydrology of Dry Regions: Storage versus Pulse Soil Water Dynamics

(2014) W. K. Lauenroth et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Quantifying drylands' drought resistance and recovery: the importance of drought intensity, dominant life history and grazing regime

(2014) Jan C. Ruppert et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Towards identifying areas at climatological risk of desertification using the Köppen-Geiger classification and FAO aridity index

(2014) Jonathan Spinoni et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Evaluation of CMIP climate model hydrological output for the Mississippi River Basin using GRACE satellite observations

(2014) Frank R. Freedman et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Impacts of 21st-Century Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Pacific Northwest Region of North America

(2014) Ingrid M. Tohver et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION

Plant growth enhancement by elevated CO2 eliminated by joint water and nitrogen limitation

(2014) Peter B. Reich et al.   Nature Geoscience

Evaluation of 11 terrestrial carbon-nitrogen cycle models against observations from two temperate Free-Air CO2Enrichment studies

(2014) Sönke Zaehle et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

A Drier Future?

(2014) S. Sherwood et al.   SCIENCE

Comprehensive ecosystem model-data synthesis using multiple data sets at two temperate forest free-air CO2enrichment experiments: Model performance at ambient CO2concentration

(2014) Anthony P. Walker et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there

(2013) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forest water use and water use efficiency at elevated CO2: a model-data intercomparison at two contrasting temperate forest FACE sites

(2013) Martin G. De Kauwe et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Ecologists should not use statistical significance tests to interpret simulation model results

(2013) J. Wilson White et al.   OIKOS

Identifying external influences on global precipitation

(2013) K. Marvel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment

(2013) Christel Prudhomme et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change

(2013) Jacob Schewe et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Vegetation control on water and energy balance within the Budyko framework

(2013) Dan Li et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Global warming and changes in drought

(2013) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   Nature Climate Change

Plant respiration and photosynthesis in global-scale models: incorporating acclimation to temperature and CO2

(2012) Nicholas G Smith et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Global diversity of drought tolerance and grassland climate-change resilience

(2012) Joseph M. Craine et al.   Nature Climate Change

The challenge to keep global warming below 2 °C

(2012) Glen P. Peters et al.   Nature Climate Change

The impact of global land-cover change on the terrestrial water cycle

(2012) Shannon M. Sterling et al.   Nature Climate Change

Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

(2012) Aiguo Dai   Nature Climate Change

Ecological Lessons from Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) Experiments

(2011) Richard J. Norby et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A synthetic review of feedbacks and drivers of shrub encroachment in arid grasslands

(2011) Paolo D'Odorico et al.   Ecohydrology

Ecohydrological niche of sagebrush ecosystems

(2011) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   Ecohydrology

The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis

(2010) Suranjana Saha et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests

(2009) Craig D. Allen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Combined effects of precipitation and nitrogen deposition on native and invasive winter annual production in California deserts

(2009) Leela E. Rao et al.   OECOLOGIA

Evaluating Uncertainties in the Projection of Future Drought

(2008) Eleanor J. Burke et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY