Prediction versus aetiology: common pitfalls and how to avoid them

Relative risk versus absolute risk: one cannot be interpreted without the other

(2017) Marlies Noordzij et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

Prediction models need appropriate internal, internal–external, and external validation

(2016) Ewout W. Steyerberg et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Methodological issues in current practice may lead to bias in the development of biomarker combinations for predicting acute kidney injury

(2016) Allison Meisner et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL

Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): The TRIPOD Statement

(2015) Gary S. Collins et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and Elaboration

(2015) Karel G.M. Moons et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Development and Validation of a Model to Predict 5-Year Risk of Death without ESRD among Older Adults with CKD

(2015) N. Bansal et al.   Clinical Journal of the American Society of Nephrology

Model for end-stage liver disease score and MELD exceptions: 15 years later

(2015) Sumeet K. Asrani et al.   Hepatology International

Looking to the future: predicting renal replacement outcomes in a large community cohort with chronic kidney disease

(2015) Angharad Marks et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

Risk of postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing orthopaedic surgery--development and validation of a risk score and effect of acute kidney injury on survival: observational cohort study

(2015) S. Bell et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Risk of postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing orthopaedic surgery--development and validation of a risk score and effect of acute kidney injury on survival: observational cohort study

(2015) S. Bell et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Comparison of Methods for Renal Risk Prediction in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (ZODIAC-36)

(2015) Ineke J. Riphagen et al.   PLoS One

Towards better clinical prediction models: seven steps for development and an ABCD for validation

(2014) E. W. Steyerberg et al.   EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL

Evaluating Risk of ESRD in the Urban Poor

(2014) M. Maziarz et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY OF NEPHROLOGY

Reducing waste from incomplete or unusable reports of biomedical research

(2014) Paul Glasziou et al.   LANCET

Graphical presentation of confounding in directed acyclic graphs

(2014) Marit M. Suttorp et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

Risk prediction models

(2013) G. Tripepi et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

A Risk Score for Chronic Kidney Disease in the General Population

(2012) Conall M. O'Seaghdha et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Risk prediction models: II. External validation, model updating, and impact assessment

(2012) Karel G M Moons et al.   HEART

Risk prediction models: I. Development, internal validation, and assessing the incremental value of a new (bio)marker

(2012) Karel G M Moons et al.   HEART

A systematic review finds prediction models for chronic kidney disease were poorly reported and often developed using inappropriate methods

(2012) Gary S. Collins et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Predicting Mortality in Incident Dialysis Patients: An Analysis of the United Kingdom Renal Registry

(2011) Martin Wagner et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF KIDNEY DISEASES

A Predictive Model for Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease to Kidney Failure

(2011) Navdeep Tangri   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Prognostic model for total mortality in patients with haemodialysis from the Assessments of Survival and Cardiovascular Events (AURORA) study

(2011) I. Holme et al.   JOURNAL OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Statistical methods for the assessment of prognostic biomarkers(part II): calibration and re-classification

(2010) G. Tripepi et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

Statistical methods for the assessment of prognostic biomarkers (Part I): Discrimination

(2010) G. Tripepi et al.   NEPHROLOGY DIALYSIS TRANSPLANTATION

Assessing the Performance of Prediction Models

(2009) Ewout W. Steyerberg et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY

A Simple Algorithm to Predict Incident Kidney Disease

(2008) Abhijit V. Kshirsagar et al.   ARCHIVES OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

General Cardiovascular Risk Profile for Use in Primary Care

(2008) Ralph B. D’Agostino et al.   CIRCULATION

Testing for causality and prognosis: etiological and prognostic models

(2008) Giovanni Tripepi et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL

Linear and logistic regression analysis

(2008) G. Tripepi et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL

The analysis of survival data in nephrology: basic concepts and methods of Cox regression

(2008) Paul C. van Dijk et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL

Confounding: What it is and how to deal with it

(2007) K.J. Jager et al.   KIDNEY INTERNATIONAL