4.7 Article

Engineering risk assessment for emergency disposal projects of sudden water pollution incidents

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
Volume 24, Issue 17, Pages 14819-14833

Publisher

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-017-9078-2

Keywords

Engineering risk assessment; Emergency disposal project; Fuzzy fault tree analysis; Sudden water pollution incidents

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [51509061]
  2. China Postdoctoral Science Foundation [2014M551249]
  3. HIT Environment and Ecology Innovation Special Funds [HSCJ201607]

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Without an engineering risk assessment for emergency disposal in response to sudden water pollution incidents, responders are prone to be challenged during emergency decision making. To address this gap, the concept and framework of emergency disposal engineering risks are reported in this paper. The proposed risk index system covers three stages consistent with the progress of an emergency disposal project. Fuzzy fault tree analysis (FFTA), a logical and diagrammatic method, was developed to evaluate the potential failure during the process of emergency disposal. The probability of basic events and their combination, which caused the failure of an emergency disposal project, were calculated based on the case of an emergency disposal project of an aniline pollution incident in the Zhuozhang River, Changzhi, China, in 2014. The critical events that can cause the occurrence of a top event (TE) were identified according to their contribution. Finally, advices on how to take measures using limited resources to prevent the failure of a TE are given according to the quantified results of risk magnitude. The proposed approach could be a potential useful safeguard for the implementation of an emergency disposal project during the process of emergency response.

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