Expert assessments of the state of US advanced fission innovation

Deep decarbonization in the U.S. will require a shift to an electrified society dominated by low-carbon generation. Many studies assume a role for nuclear power in the new energy economy, and the nuclear industry anticipates an eventual transition from light water reactors to advanced, non-light water designs. The development of these advanced reactors is emblematic of the type of dramatic change that is needed to transition from fossil fuels and deeply decarbonize the energy system. The Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) in the U.S. is entrusted with the allocation of public sector expenditures for this transition, but there is little to show for its efforts; no advanced design is remotely ready for deployment. Here, we report results from structured interviews we conducted with 30 nuclear energy veterans to elicit their impressions of the state of U.S. fission innovation. Most experts assessed NE as having been largely unsuccessful in enabling the development of advanced designs. The interview results highlight the importance of leadership and programmatic discipline, and how their absence leads to poor performance in driving change. Responses point to the likely demise of nuclear power and nuclear science in the U.S. without significant improvements in leadership, focus and political support.