4.6 Article

Pattern of trends in stock markets as revealed by the renormalization method

Journal

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.03.028

Keywords

Stock price dynamics; Herd behavior; Renormalization method; Econophysics

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [11222544]
  2. Fok Ying Tung Education Foundation [131008]
  3. Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University [NCET-12-0121]
  4. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Financial Information Technology (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics)

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Predicting the movement of prices is a challenging topic in financial markets. So far, many investigations have been performed to help understand the dynamics of stock prices. In this work, we utilize the renormalization method to analyze the scaling and pattern of stock price trends. According to the analysis of length and changing velocity of the price trends, we find that there exist asymmetric phenomena of the trends in American stock market. In addition, a stronger Herd behavior is also discovered in the Chinese stock market. Since the Chinese (American) stock market is a representative of emerging (mature) market, the study on comparing the markets between these two countries is of potential value, which can leave us a wiser about both the pattern of the markets and the underlying physical mechanisms. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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