Journal
JOURNAL OF RETAILING AND CONSUMER SERVICES
Volume 75, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jretconser.2023.103542
Keywords
Mobile coupons; Relationship state; Hidden Markov model
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This study uses a hidden Markov model (HMM) framework to examine the short-term and long-term effectiveness of minimum-threshold coupons and limited-time, low price coupons. It finds that both types of coupons increase consumers' purchase probability during the coupon redemption period. In addition, minimum-threshold coupons not only increase consumers' purchase quantity during the redemption period, but also improve the customer-firm relationship beyond the redemption period. On the other hand, limited-time, low-price coupons only strengthen the customer-firm relationship for consumers in a higher relationship state.
Despite the popularity of constrained mobile coupons in recent years, little research has examined their effectiveness. This paper presents a hidden Markov model (HMM) framework to examine the short-term and longterm effectiveness of minimum-threshold coupons (i.e., threshold-constrained coupons) and limited-time, low price coupons (i.e., time-constrained coupons). We find that both of them boost consumers' purchase probability during the coupon redemption period. Furthermore, minimum-threshold coupons not only increase consumers' purchase quantity during the redemption period, but also improve the customer-firm relationship beyond the redemption period. By contrast, limited-time, low-price coupons strengthen the customer-firm relationship only for consumers in a higher relationship state but not a lower relationship state. This study can help marketers allocate limited marketing resources effectively, strengthen and manage the relationship between consumers and firms, and increase product sales.
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