Economic Valuation of Lake Tana: A Recreational Use Value Estimation through the Travel Cost Method

Lake Tana is a well-known tourist spot in northern Ethiopia that lures both domestic and foreign tourists. The lake's value is still underrated, despite the site's immense potential for recreation and tourism. In this study, the recreational value of Lake Tana is estimated, and the consumer characteristics associated with recreational demand are analyzed. The study employs a Zero-Truncated Poisson (ZTP) regression model for data generated by the Individual Travel Cost Method (ITCM) and draws information from 1094 on-site surveys. According to ZTP regression results, variables that are significantly and positively associated with demand for Lake Tana recreation include the monthly income and age of the visitors and their preference for other recreation destinations such as Tis-Abay and Gondar Fasiledes Royal Castle. However, respondents' leisure time, overall cost, and residential distance from the recreational site are all negatively associated with the demand for recreation. It is also evident that Lake Tana is endowed with a wealth of attributes, ranging from natural beauty to ancient religious and cultural heritages, making the lake a highly desirable recreation destination. According to the estimation, Lake Tana has a yearly recreational value of around USD 68.5 million. However, it also demonstrates that if lake settings were to improve in quality, the value of Lake Tana would rise considerably, reaching USD 151 million. The value of sentimental attachment implies that determining Lake Tana's recreational value is a key element in the resource's sustainable utilization and management. To make greater use of Lake Tana's recreational amenities, however, uncontrolled waste disposal, favorable recreation facilities, and the spread of water hyacinth should be addressed immediately. Furthermore, it is imperative to maintain the lake's diverse attributes, as the integration of these attributes is what gives the lake its primary appeal.

Automated summary

Lake Tana's recreational value and its association with visitor demand were studied using the Individual Travel Cost Method and a Zero-Truncated Poisson regression model. The study found that factors such as monthly income, age, and preference for other destinations positively influenced the demand for Lake Tana recreation, while factors like leisure time, overall cost, and distance from the site had a negative impact. The estimated yearly recreational value of Lake Tana is USD 68.5 million, but it has the potential to reach USD 151 million with improvements in the lake's quality.