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A review on methods for state of health forecasting of lithium-ion batteries applicable in real-world operational conditions

Journal

JOURNAL OF ENERGY STORAGE
Volume 57, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.est.2022.105978

Keywords

Lithium -ion battery; Battery electric vehicles; State of health; Battery ageing; Forecasting; Machine learning

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The ageing of Lithium-ion batteries depends on their operation during charging, discharging, and rest phases, and can be forecasted to determine the state of health (SOH) of the battery. This SOH forecasting is valuable for fleet managers of battery electric vehicle (BEV) fleets to plan vehicle replacement and optimize operational strategies. However, there are limitations in the applicability and comparability of existing models due to different data sets, metrics, output values, and forecast horizons.
The ageing of Lithium-ion batteries can be described as change of state of health (ASOH). It depends on the battery's operation during charging, discharging, and rest phases. Mapping the operation conditions during these phases for long time windows to a ASOH enables forecasting the battery's SOH. With SOH forecasting fleet managers of battery electric vehicle (BEV) fleets can plan vehicle replacement and optimize the fleet's opera-tional strategy. Inspired by the applicability from a user's perspective of fleet managers and battery designers, this work motivates and defines key criteria for SOH forecasting models. The key criteria concern the encoding of information in the model inputs, model transferability to other batteries, and the applicability to 2nd life battery applications. Based on these key criteria we review SOH forecasting models. Currently, only few models satisfy the majority of the defined key criteria, while three others only fail at two key criteria. The majority (71 %) of the methods use machine learning models which can be seen as current research trend due to the complex depen-dence of battery operational data and battery ageing. We show limitations of the applicability and comparability of existing models due to different data sets, different metrics, different output values, and different forecast horizons. Furthermore, code and data are only rarely shared and publicly available.

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