COVID-19: Forecasting confirmed cases and deaths with a simple time series model

Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19

(2020) Fotios Petropoulos et al.   PLoS One

A machine learning forecasting model for COVID-19 pandemic in India

(2020) R. Sujath et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions

(2020) Zifeng Yang et al.   Journal of Thoracic Disease

Judgmental selection of forecasting models

(2018) Fotios Petropoulos et al.   JOURNAL OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt

(2018) Cécile Viboud et al.   Epidemics

Evaluation of mechanistic and statistical methods in forecasting influenza-like illness

(2018) Sasikiran Kandula et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Predicting lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination dynamics using a multi-model ensemble framework

(2017) Morgan E. Smith et al.   Epidemics

A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting

(2017) David C. Farrow et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

tsiR: An R package for time-series Susceptible-Infected-Recovered models of epidemics

(2017) Alexander D. Becker et al.   PLoS One

Time series regression model for infectious disease and weather

(2015) Chisato Imai et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH

Flexible Modeling of Epidemics with an Empirical Bayes Framework

(2015) Logan C. Brooks et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic

(2015) Jean-Paul Chretien et al.   eLife

Predictive Validation of an Influenza Spread Model

(2013) Ayaz Hyder et al.   PLoS One

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012–2013 season

(2013) Jeffrey Shaman et al.   Nature Communications

Application of an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Predicting the Incidence of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome

(2012) Qi Li et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza

(2012) J. Shaman et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An overview of health forecasting

(2012) Ireneous N. Soyiri et al.   Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine

A multi-tiered time-series modelling approach to forecasting respiratory syncytial virus incidence at the local level

(2011) M. C. SPAEDER et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION