Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format

(2021) Johannes Bracher et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

The Zoltar forecast archive, a tool to standardize and store interdisciplinary prediction research

(2021) Nicholas G. Reich et al.   Scientific Data

A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

(2021) J. Bracher et al.   Nature Communications

Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines

(2021) Simon Pollett et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time

(2020) Ensheng Dong et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States

(2019) Nicholas G. Reich et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015–2016

(2019) Craig J. McGowan et al.   Scientific Reports

Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens

(2019) Jonathan A. Polonsky et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics

(2019) Michael A. Johansson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.

(2019) Nicholas G. Reich et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples

(2019) Chelsea S. Lutz et al.   BMC PUBLIC HEALTH

The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt

(2018) Cécile Viboud et al.   Epidemics

Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast

(2016) Kelly R. Moran et al.   JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Ensemble forecasting

(2007) M. Leutbecher et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS