4.5 Article

Switching cost and store choice

Journal

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Volume 105, Issue 1, Pages 195-218

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12307

Keywords

food retailing; Markov-perfect equilibrium; option value; retail prices; shopping-basket model; switching costs

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Switching costs have traditionally been seen as anti-competitive, but this study shows that suppliers actually compete aggressively to retain non-switching consumers. The study also finds that loyalty programs designed to increase customer retention can lead to lower retail prices. Additionally, the existence of a real option value due to price uncertainty contributes to the loyalty effect, and switching costs make up a significant portion of the average shopping cost.
Switching costs are generally regarded as anticompetitive as firms can raise prices to locked-in consumers, at least up to the cost of switching to a lower-priced alternative. However, there is some evidence, both theoretical and empirical, that tends to show the opposite. Namely, suppliers, anticipating the pool of rents potentially available, compete aggressively to acquire non-switching consumers. Moreover, fixed shopping costs and uncertain prices imply that there is a real option value embedded in consumers' shopping behavior, and which must be priced in and compensated if consumers are to switch stores. We argue that retail prices are lower when retailers use programs designed to increase customer retention, or stickiness. We test our theory using a panel of household-level, store-choice data. Contrary to the conventional wisdom, we find that loyalty is pro-competitive and leads to lower prices than would otherwise be the case. We also find that approximately 50% of the cumulative loyalty effect is attributable to the existence of a real option due to price uncertainty and that switching costs are substantial and comprise around 12% of the average cost of a basket of groceries.

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