4.4 Article

Impact of climate change on sediment yield for Naran watershed, Pakistan

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SEDIMENT RESEARCH
Volume 31, Issue 3, Pages 212-219

Publisher

IRTCES
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsrc.2015.08.002

Keywords

Climate change; Downscaling; Hydrologic modeling; Suspended sediment yield; SHETRAN

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In this paper, the site-specific impact of climate change on sediment yield has been assessed for the Naran watershed, Pakistan. Observed data has been gathered for period 1961-2010 and HaDCM3 GCM predictors of SRES scenarios A2 and B2 have been downloaded. Future precipitation and temperature time series have been statistically downscaled for time horizon 2011-2040 and 2041-2070. Downscaled data show both increasing and decreasing changes with respect to the observation. Potential sediment yield for future related to climate change has been simulated. The results show that the both snowy and monsoon seasonal stream discharges are expected to increase. This will lead to increase in annual suspended sediment yields. Percentage-wise, a less discharge and more sediment yield are expected during the early summer. The study concluded that the climate change and variability are influencing the watershed, and suspended sediment yield is likely to increase in the future. (C) 2016 International Research and Training Centre on Erosion and Sedimentation/the World Association for Sedimentation and Erosion Research. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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