4.8 Article

Health co-benefits of climate change mitigation depend on strategic power plant retirements and pollution controls

Journal

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
Volume 11, Issue 12, Pages 1077-+

Publisher

NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01216-1

Keywords

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Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41921005, 41625020]
  2. Energy Foundation [G-2009-32416]
  3. US National Science Foundation (Innovations at the Nexus of Food, Energy and Water Systems) [EAR 1639318]

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Reducing CO2 emissions from fossil fuel- and biomass-fired power plants not only benefits climate and public health, but also has significant implications for future deaths, especially in low-income or emerging economies. Strategic retirements of super-polluting power plants and deployment of pollution control technologies are necessary to minimize future deaths and should be an important consideration in designing and implementing climate-energy policies.
Reducing CO2 emissions from fossil fuel- and biomass-fired power plants often also reduces air pollution, benefitting both climate and public health. Here, we examine the relationship of climate and health benefits by modelling individual electricity-generating units worldwide across a range of climate-energy policy scenarios. We estimate that similar to 92% of deaths related to power plant emissions during 2010-2018 occurred in low-income or emerging economies such as China, India and countries in Southeast Asia, and show that such deaths are quite sensitive to future climate-energy trajectories. Yet, minimizing future deaths will also require strategic retirements of super-polluting power plants and deployment of pollution control technologies. These findings underscore the importance of considering public health in designing and implementing climate-energy policies: improved air quality and avoided air pollution deaths are not an automatic and fixed co-benefit of climate mitigation.

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