4.8 Article

A Two-Stage Data-Driven-Based Prognostic Approach for Bearing Degradation Problem

Journal

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INDUSTRIAL INFORMATICS
Volume 12, Issue 3, Pages 924-932

Publisher

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
DOI: 10.1109/TII.2016.2535368

Keywords

Degradation; Kalman filter (KF); prognostics; remaining useful life (RUL) estimation

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [51405380, 51421004, 11471275, 71420107023]
  2. China Post-Doctoral Science Foundation [2014M560765]
  3. Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China [LY15E050019]
  4. Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
  5. Research Grants Council Theme-Based Research Scheme [T32-101/15-R]

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Prognostics of the remaining useful life (RUL) has emerged as a critical technique for ensuring the safety, availability, and efficiency of a complex system. To gain a better prognostic result, degradation information is quite useful because it can reflect the health status of a system. However, due to the lack of accurate information about the plants' degradation, the prognostic model is usually not well established. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a two-stage strategy that is in the context of data-driven modeling to predict the future health status of a bearing, where the degradation information was estimated by calculating the deviation of multiple statistics of vibration signals of a bearing from a known healthy state. Then, a prediction stage based on an enhanced Kalman filter and an expectation-maximization algorithm were used to estimate the RUL of the bearing adaptively. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach, a real-bearing degradation problem was implemented.

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