Predicting counterfactual risks under hypothetical treatment strategies: an application to HIV

The Clinician and Dataset Shift in Artificial Intelligence

(2021) Samuel G. Finlayson et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Prediction meets causal inference: the role of treatment in clinical prediction models

(2020) Nan van Geloven et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Extending inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population

(2020) Issa J. Dahabreh et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Counterfactual prediction is not only for causal inference

(2020) Barbra A. Dickerman et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Improved discrimination of mortality with Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) Index 2.0 in HIV-positive individuals

(2019) Janet P. Tate et al.   AIDS

Extending inferences from a randomized trial to a target population

(2019) Issa J. Dahabreh et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

From development to deployment: dataset shift, causality, and shift-stable models in health AI

(2019) Adarsh Subbaswamy et al.   BIOSTATISTICS

Using marginal structural models to adjust for treatment drop-in when developing clinical prediction models

(2018) Matthew Sperrin et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Per-Protocol Analyses of Pragmatic Trials

(2017) Miguel A. Hernán et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Using Big Data to Emulate a Target Trial When a Randomized Trial Is Not Available: Table 1.

(2016) Miguel A. Hernán et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and Elaboration

(2015) Karel G.M. Moons et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Graphical assessment of internal and external calibration of logistic regression models by using loess smoothers

(2013) Peter C. Austin et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

An internationally generalizable risk index for mortality after one year of antiretroviral therapy

(2012) Janet P. Tate et al.   AIDS

Compound Treatments and Transportability of Causal Inference

(2011) Miguel A. Hernán et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY

Intervening on risk factors for coronary heart disease: an application of the parametric g-formula

(2009) Sarah L Taubman et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Estimation and extrapolation of optimal treatment and testing strategies

(2008) James Robins et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE