Systematic review of predictive mathematical models of COVID-19 epidemic

Estimation of the reproductive number of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis

(2020) Sheng Zhang et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures

(2020) J Rocklöv et al.   JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE

Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study

(2020) Marius Gilbert et al.   LANCET

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts

(2020) Joel Hellewell et al.   Lancet Global Health

Estimation of the Transmission Risk of the 2019-nCoV and Its Implication for Public Health Interventions

(2020) Biao Tang et al.   Journal of Clinical Medicine

The Exponentially Increasing Rate of Patients Infected with COVID-19 in Iran

(2020) Leila Moftakhar et al.   Archives of Iranian Medicine

A Model for COVID-19 Prediction in Iran Based on China Parameters

(2020) Bushra Zareie et al.   Archives of Iranian Medicine

Outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 in China and the United States

(2020) Mathias Peirlinck et al.   Biomechanics and Modeling in Mechanobiology

Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada

(2020) Ashleigh R. Tuite et al.   CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL

Strong correlations between power-law growth of COVID-19 in four continents and the inefficiency of soft quarantine strategies

(2020) Cesar Manchein et al.   CHAOS

Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020

(2020) Carl AB Pearson et al.   Eurosurveillance

Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study

(2020) Yuanyuan Gao et al.   INFECTION CONTROL AND HOSPITAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Modelling SARS-COV2 Spread in London: Approaches to Lift the Lockdown

(2020) Lara Goscé et al.   JOURNAL OF INFECTION

The effectiveness of quarantine of Wuhan city against the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID‐19): A well‐mixed SEIR model analysis

(2020) Can Hou et al.   JOURNAL OF MEDICAL VIROLOGY

COVID-19 virus outbreak forecasting of registered and recovered cases after sixty day lockdown in Italy: A data driven model approach

(2020) Nalini Chintalapudi et al.   JOURNAL OF MICROBIOLOGY IMMUNOLOGY AND INFECTION

Wrong but Useful — What Covid-19 Epidemiologic Models Can and Cannot Tell Us

(2020) Inga Holmdahl et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19

(2020) Fotios Petropoulos et al.   PLoS One

Data-based analysis, modelling and forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak

(2020) Cleo Anastassopoulou et al.   PLoS One

Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States

(2020) Seyed M. Moghadas et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Scientists are drowning in COVID-19 papers. Can new tools keep them afloat?

(2020) Jeffrey Brainard   SCIENCE

Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France

(2020) Henrik Salje et al.   SCIENCE

Analysis of COVID-19 infection spread in Japan based on stochastic transition model

(2020) Kenji Karako et al.   BioScience Trends

Mathematical prediction of the time evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy by a Gauss error function and Monte Carlo simulations

(2020) Ignazio Ciufolini et al.   European Physical Journal Plus

Spatial-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China and its prediction: A data-driven modeling analysis

(2020) Rui Huang et al.   Journal of Infection in Developing Countries

Estimation of the Excess COVID-19 Cases in Seoul, South Korea by the Students Arriving from China

(2020) Sukhyun Ryu et al.   International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

Naive Forecast for COVID-19 in Utah Based on the South Korea and Italy Models-the Fluctuation between Two Extremes

(2020) Fares Qeadan et al.   International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health

Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions

(2020) Zifeng Yang et al.   Journal of Thoracic Disease

When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: A SEIR modeling analysis

(2020) Kangkang Wan et al.   Journal of Global Health

Prediction of the Epidemic Peak of Coronavirus Disease in Japan, 2020

(2020) Toshikazu Kuniya   Journal of Clinical Medicine

A Simulation on Potential Secondary Spread of Novel Coronavirus in an Exported Country Using a Stochastic Epidemic SEIR Model

(2020) Kentaro Iwata et al.   Journal of Clinical Medicine

An Efficient COVID-19 Prediction Model Validated with the Cases of China, Italy and Spain: Total or Partial Lockdowns?

(2020) Samuel Sanchez-Caballero et al.   Journal of Clinical Medicine

Impact of school closures for COVID-19 on the US health-care workforce and net mortality: a modelling study

(2020) Jude Bayham et al.   Lancet Public Health

The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

(2020) Kiesha Prem et al.   Lancet Public Health

A Simulation of a COVID-19 Epidemic Based on a Deterministic SEIR Model

(2020) José M. Carcione et al.   Frontiers in Public Health

COVID-19 UK Lockdown Forecasts and R0

(2020) Greg Dropkin   Frontiers in Public Health

Predicting COVID-19 Peaks Around the World

(2020) Constantino Tsallis et al.   Frontiers in Physics

Development of new hybrid model of discrete wavelet decomposition and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models in application to one month forecast the casualties cases of COVID-19

(2020) Sarbjit Singh et al.   CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS

COVID-19 spreading in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Do the policies of social isolation really work?

(2020) Nuno Crokidakis   CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS

Evaluation and prediction of the COVID-19 variations at different input population and quarantine strategies, a case study in Guangdong province, China

(2020) Zengyun Hu et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus

(2020) Calistus N. Ngonghala et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Can we predict the occurrence of COVID-19 cases? Considerations using a simple model of growth

(2020) Fábio A.M. Cássaro et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

Prediction of the COVID-19 spread in African countries and implications for prevention and control: A case study in South Africa, Egypt, Algeria, Nigeria, Senegal and Kenya

(2020) Zebin Zhao et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

The relatively young and rural population may limit the spread and severity of COVID-19 in Africa: a modelling study

(2020) Binta Zahra Diop et al.   BMJ Global Health

Mathematical modeling of the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) taking into account the undetected infections. The case of China

(2020) B. Ivorra et al.   Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation

PROBAST: A Tool to Assess the Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies

(2019) Robert F. Wolff et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Systematic review of mathematical models exploring the epidemiological impact of future TB vaccines

(2016) Rebecca C. Harris et al.   Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics

A systematic review to identify areas of enhancements of pandemic simulation models for operational use at provincial and local levels

(2012) Diana M Prieto et al.   BMC PUBLIC HEALTH