Does Phenological Plasticity Help or Hinder Range Shifts Under Climate Change?

Photoperiod decelerates the advance of spring phenology of six deciduous tree species under climate warming

(2021) Lin Meng et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Earlier spring reduces potential for gene flow via reduced flowering synchrony across an elevational gradient

(2021) Sébastien Rivest et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Extirpated prairie species demonstrate more variable phenological responses to warming than extant congeners

(2021) Meredith A. Zettlemoyer et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Changing Climate Drives Divergent and Nonlinear Shifts in Flowering Phenology across Elevations

(2020) Nicole E. Rafferty et al.   CURRENT BIOLOGY

The relative importance of plasticity versus genetic differentiation in explaining between population differences; a meta‐analysis

(2020) Megan A. Stamp et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Spatio-temporal variation in egg-laying dates of nestbox-breeding varied tits (Poecile varius) in response to spring pre-breeding period temperatures at long-term study sites in South Korea and Japan

(2020) Min-Su Jeong et al.   Journal of Forest Research

The individual and combined effects of snowmelt timing and frost exposure on the reproductive success of montane forbs

(2019) Gabriella L. Pardee et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Plant phenology and global climate change: current progresses and challenges

(2019) Shilong Piao et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Short photoperiod reduces the temperature sensitivity of leaf‐out in saplings of Fagus sylvatica but not in horse chestnut

(2019) Yongshuo H. Fu et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Maladaptive Shifts in Life History in a Changing Environment

(2019) Olivier Cotto et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Evolutionary and demographic consequences of phenological mismatches

(2019) Marcel E. Visser et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Biotic Interactions Contribute to the Geographic Range Limit of an Annual Plant: Herbivory and Phenology Mediate Fitness beyond a Range Margin

(2019) John W. Benning et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Interannual variation in season length is linked to strong co‐gradient plasticity of phenology in a montane annual plant

(2019) David J. Ensing et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Gene flow at the leading range edge: The long‐term consequences of isolation in European Beech ( Fagus sylvatica L. Kuhn)

(2019) M. Jennifer Sjölund et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Gene flow limits adaptation along steep environmental gradients

(2019) Judith C. Bachmann et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Climate change shifts natural selection and the adaptive potential of the perennial forb Boechera stricta in the Rocky Mountains

(2019) Jordan B. Bemmels et al.   EVOLUTION

Experimental migration upward in elevation is associated with strong selection on life history traits

(2019) Megan L. Peterson et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Shifts in the temperature‐sensitive periods for spring phenology in European beech and pedunculate oak clones across latitudes and over recent decades

(2019) Bénédicte Wenden et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Breeding season length and nest mortality drive cryptic life history variation in Dark-eyed Juncos (Junco hyemalis) breeding across a montane elevational gradient

(2018) Katie LaBarbera et al.   AUK

Temperature and photoperiod drive spring phenology across all species in a temperate forest community

(2018) D. F. B. Flynn et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Climate Change and Phenological Mismatch in Trophic Interactions Among Plants, Insects, and Vertebrates

(2018) Susanne S. Renner et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Ecosystem warming extends vegetation activity but heightens vulnerability to cold temperatures

(2018) Andrew D. Richardson et al.   NATURE

The mechanisms of phenology: the patterns and processes of phenological shifts

(2018) Helen E. Chmura et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Local adaptation primes cold‐edge populations for range expansion but not warming‐induced range shifts

(2018) Anna L. Hargreaves et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Genotypic variation in phenological plasticity: Reciprocal common gardens reveal adaptive responses to warmer springs but not to fall frost

(2018) Hillary F. Cooper et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Global warming reduces leaf-out and flowering synchrony among individuals

(2018) Constantin M Zohner et al.   eLife

Rapid evolution of phenology during range expansion with recent climate change

(2017) Nicky Lustenhouwer et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Estimating the ability of plants to plastically track temperature-mediated shifts in the spring phenological optimum

(2017) Christine J. Tansey et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The Effect of a Latitudinal Temperature Gradient on Germination Patterns

(2017) Meredith A. Zettlemoyer et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PLANT SCIENCES

Phenological synchrony between a butterfly and its host plants: Experimental test of effects of spring temperature

(2017) Diana Posledovich et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Genetic differentiation and plasticity interact along temperature and precipitation gradients to determine plant performance under climate change

(2017) Zuzana Münzbergová et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Evolutionary dynamics of the leaf phenological cycle in an oak metapopulation along an elevation gradient

(2017) C. Firmat et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Processes affecting altitudinal distribution of invasive Ageratina adenophora in western Himalaya: The role of local adaptation and the importance of different life-cycle stages

(2017) Arunava Datta et al.   PLoS One

Latitudinal cogradient variation of development time and growth rate and a negative latitudinal body weight cline in a widely distributed cabbage beetle

(2017) Jianjun Tang et al.   PLoS One

Artificial Selection Reveals High Genetic Variation in Phenology at the Trailing Edge of a Species Range

(2016) Seema Nayan Sheth et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in precipitation patterns explain population-level germination strategies in an edaphic specialist

(2016) Lorena Torres-Martínez et al.   ANNALS OF BOTANY

Geographic variation in genetic and demographic performance: new insights from an old biogeographical paradigm

(2016) Samuel Pironon et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics

(2016) Nina McLean et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Effects of winter temperatures, spring degree-day accumulation, and insect population source on phenological synchrony between forest tent caterpillar and host trees

(2016) Johnny A. Uelmen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Where, why and how? Explaining the low-temperature range limits of temperate tree species

(2016) Christian Körner et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

(2016) Stephen J. Thackeray et al.   NATURE

Flowering phenology and reproduction of the Solidago virgaurea L. complex along an elevational gradient on Mt Norikura, central Japan

(2016) Akiko Sakurai et al.   PLANT SPECIES BIOLOGY

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

(2016) M. C. Urban et al.   SCIENCE

Bud phenology and growth are subject to divergent selection across a latitudinal gradient inPopulus angustifoliaand impact adaptation across the distributional range and associated arthropods

(2016) Luke M. Evans et al.   Ecology and Evolution

The unique and multifaceted importance of the timing of flowering

(2015) Steven J. Franks   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Increased heat requirement for leaf flushing in temperate woody species over 1980-2012: effects of chilling, precipitation and insolation

(2015) Yongshuo H. Fu et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The success of assisted colonization and assisted gene flow depends on phenology

(2015) Susana M. Wadgymar et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Similarities in butterfly emergence dates among populations suggest local adaptation to climate

(2015) David B. Roy et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Experimental drought and heat can delay phenological development and reduce foliar and shoot growth in semiarid trees

(2015) Henry D. Adams et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Phenological plasticity will not help all species adapt to climate change

(2015) Anne Duputié et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Environmental heterogeneity leads to higher plasticity in dry-edge populations of a semi-arid Chilean shrub: insights into climate change responses

(2015) Ana Lázaro-Nogal et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Evolution, plasticity and evolving plasticity of phenology in the tree speciesAlnus glutinosa

(2015) H. De Kort et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

On the potential strength and consequences for nonrandom gene flow caused by local adaptation in flowering time

(2015) A. E. Weis   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Phenotypic response of plants to simulated climate change in a long-term rain-manipulation experiment: a multi-species study

(2015) Sabine Hänel et al.   OECOLOGIA

Later flowering is associated with a compressed flowering season and reduced reproductive output in an early season floral resource

(2015) Nicole E. Rafferty et al.   OIKOS

Elevational differences in developmental plasticity determine phenological responses of grasshoppers to recent climate warming

(2015) Lauren B. Buckley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Where and When do Species Interactions Set Range Limits?

(2015) Allison M. Louthan et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Losing your edge: climate change and the conservation value of range-edge populations

(2015) Evan M. Rehm et al.   Ecology and Evolution

The effects of phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation on forecasts of species range shifts under climate change

(2014) Fernando Valladares et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

THE EVOLUTION OF ENVIRONMENTAL TOLERANCE AND RANGE SIZE: A COMPARISON OF GEOGRAPHICALLY RESTRICTED AND WIDESPREADMIMULUS

(2014) Seema N. Sheth et al.   EVOLUTION

Tree phenology responses to winter chilling, spring warming, at north and south range limits

(2014) James S. Clark et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Earlier leaf-out rather than difference in freezing resistance puts juvenile trees at greater risk of damage than adult trees

(2014) Yann Vitasse et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Use of intraspecific variation in thermal responses for estimating an elevational cline in the timing of cold hardening in a sub-boreal conifer

(2014) W. Ishizuka et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Shifts in flowering phenology reshape a subalpine plant community

(2014) Paul J. CaraDonna et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Thriving at the limit: Differential reproductive performance in range-edge populations of a Mediterranean sclerophyll (Olea europaea)

(2013) Carlos Granado-Yela et al.   ACTA OECOLOGICA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Are Species’ Range Limits Simply Niche Limits Writ Large? A Review of Transplant Experiments beyond the Range

(2013) Anna L. Hargreaves et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Phenology predicts the native and invasive range limits of common ragweed

(2013) Daniel S. Chapman et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Plant population differentiation and climate change: responses of grassland species along an elevational gradient

(2013) Esther R. Frei et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Rapid Adaptation to Climate Facilitates Range Expansion of an Invasive Plant

(2013) R. I. Colautti et al.   SCIENCE

Plant-Pollinator Interactions over 120 Years: Loss of Species, Co-Occurrence, and Function

(2013) L. A. Burkle et al.   SCIENCE

Assortative mating and gene flow generate clinal phenological variation in trees

(2012) Jean-Paul Soularue et al.   BMC EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

GENETIC CONSTRAINTS ON ADAPTATION TO A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT

(2012) Luis-Miguel Chevin   EVOLUTION

Latitudinal clines in alternative life histories in a geometrid moth

(2012) P. Välimäki et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Effect of Habitat Fragmentation on the Genetic Diversity and Structure of Peripheral Populations of Beech in Central Italy

(2012) Stefano Leonardi et al.   JOURNAL OF HEREDITY

Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change

(2012) E. M. Wolkovich et al.   NATURE

Elevation-Dependent Temperature Trends in the Rocky Mountain Front Range: Changes over a 56- and 20-Year Record

(2012) Chris R. McGuire et al.   PLoS One

Divergent responses to spring and winter warming drive community level flowering trends

(2012) B. I. Cook et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

How does climate change cause extinction?

(2012) A. E. Cahill et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Thermal tolerance and the global redistribution of animals

(2012) Jennifer M. Sunday et al.   Nature Climate Change

Pollinator effectiveness varies with experimental shifts in flowering time

(2011) Nicole E. Rafferty et al.   ECOLOGY

Meta-analysis of phenotypic selection on flowering phenology suggests that early flowering plants are favoured

(2011) Miguel A. Munguía-Rosas et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Genetic variation in productivity of foundation riparian species at the edge of their distribution: implications for restoration and assisted migration in a warming climate

(2011) Kevin C. Grady et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Incorporating Population-Level Variation in Thermal Performance into Predictions of Geographic Range Shifts

(2011) Amy L. Angert et al.   INTEGRATIVE AND COMPARATIVE BIOLOGY

Adaptation to marginal habitats by evolution of increased phenotypic plasticity

(2011) L.-M. CHEVIN et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Phenotypic plasticity facilitates resistance to climate change in a highly variable environment

(2011) Sarah Richter et al.   OECOLOGIA

Assisted colonization: Integrating conservation strategies in the face of climate change

(2010) Scott R. Loss et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Response of individual components of reproductive phenology to growing season length in a monocarpic herb

(2010) Brian P. Haggerty et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Why does phenology drive species distribution?

(2010) I. Chuine   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Limited phenotypic plasticity in range-edge populations: a comparison of co-occurring populations of two Agrimonia species with different geographical distributions

(2010) Maris Mägi et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Evolutionary constraints on adaptive evolution during range expansion in an invasive plant

(2010) R. I. Colautti et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Phenotypic plasticity and population viability: the importance of environmental predictability

(2010) T. E. Reed et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Phenology Under Global Warming

(2010) C. Korner et al.   SCIENCE

The Covariance between Genetic and Environmental Influences across Ecological Gradients

(2009) David O. Conover et al.   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Evolution and Ecology of Species Range Limits

(2009) Jason P. Sexton et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Assisted migration of plants: Changes in latitudes, changes in attitudes

(2009) Pati Vitt et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Ontogenetic changes in leaf phenology of two co-occurring Mediterranean oaks differing in leaf life span

(2009) Sonia Mediavilla et al.   ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH

Flowering-time plasticity facilitates niche shifts in adjacent populations

(2009) Donald A. Levin   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Phenological and morphological differentiation in annual Chaetanthera moenchioides (Asteraceae) over an aridity gradient

(2009) Kester Bull-Hereñu et al.   PLANT SYSTEMATICS AND EVOLUTION

Geographic range limits of species

(2009) K.J Gaston   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Cryptic genetic variation

(2008) Greg Gibson et al.   CURRENT BIOLOGY

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PHENOLOGY, FROST DAMAGE, AND FLORAL ABUNDANCE OF MONTANE WILDFLOWERS

(2008) David W. Inouye   ECOLOGY

Tree species range shifts at a continental scale: new predictive insights from a process-based model

(2008) Xavier Morin et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

A change in climate causes rapid evolution of multiple life-history traits and their interactions in an annual plant

(2008) S. J. FRANKS et al.   JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Genetic variation across species’ geographical ranges: the central–marginal hypothesis and beyond

(2008) C. G. ECKERT et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

A Significant Upward Shift in Plant Species Optimum Elevation During the 20th Century

(2008) J. Lenoir et al.   SCIENCE