Modelling marine community responses to climate-driven species redistribution to guide monitoring and adaptive ecosystem-based management

Spatial variation in mortality by in-pot predation in the Tasmanian rock lobster fishery

(2016) Felipe Briceño et al.   FISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY

Limited effectiveness of divers to mitigate ‘barrens’ formation by culling sea urchins while fishing for abalone

(2016) J. C. Sanderson et al.   MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH

Systematic culling controls a climate driven, habitat modifying invader

(2015) Sean R. Tracey et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

Tropical herbivores provide resilience to a climate-mediated phase shift on temperate reefs

(2015) Scott Bennett et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Species traits and climate velocity explain geographic range shifts in an ocean-warming hotspot

(2015) Jennifer M. Sunday et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Building Resilience Against Climate-Driven Shifts in a Temperate Reef System: Staying Away from Context-Dependent Ecological Thresholds

(2015) Martin Pierre Marzloff et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Adapting Management of Marine Environments to a Changing Climate: A Checklist to Guide Reform and Assess Progress

(2015) Colin Creighton et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Rapid assessment of an ocean warming hotspot reveals “high” confidence in potential species’ range extensions

(2015) L.M. Robinson et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Reproductive capacity of a marine species (Octopus tetricus) within a recent range extension area

(2015) Jorge E. Ramos et al.   MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH

Evaluating community impacts of ocean acidification using qualitative network models

(2015) JCP Reum et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes

(2015) Grégory Beaugrand et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine biodiversity

(2015) Jorge García Molinos et al.   Nature Climate Change

Evaluating community impacts of ocean acidification using qualitative network models

(2015) JCP Reum et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Defining and observing stages of climate-mediated range shifts in marine systems

(2014) Amanda E. Bates et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Biogeographic variation in temperature drives performance of kelp gametophytes during warming

(2014) MB Mohring et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Body Size, Growth and Life Span: Implications for the Polewards Range Shift of Octopus tetricus in South-Eastern Australia

(2014) Jorge E. Ramos et al.   PLoS One

The tropicalization of temperate marine ecosystems: climate-mediated changes in herbivory and community phase shifts

(2014) A. Verges et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Biological ramifications of climate-change-mediated oceanic multi-stressors

(2014) Philip W. Boyd et al.   Nature Climate Change

Sensitivity analysis and pattern-oriented validation of TRITON, a model with alternative community states: Insights on temperate rocky reefs dynamics

(2013) Martin P. Marzloff et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Modelling the effects of climate change on the distribution and production of marine fishes: accounting for trophic interactions in a dynamic bioclimate envelope model

(2013) Jose A. Fernandes et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A Statistical Method for Improving Continental Shelf and Nearshore Marine Climate Predictions

(2013) Eric C. J. Oliver et al.   JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY

Signature of ocean warming in global fisheries catch

(2013) William W. L. Cheung et al.   NATURE

Testing Paradigms of Ecosystem Change under Climate Warming in Antarctica

(2013) Jessica Melbourne-Thomas et al.   PLoS One

Comprehensive evaluation of model uncertainty in qualitative network analyses

(2012) J. Melbourne-Thomas et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Thermal tolerance and the global redistribution of animals

(2012) Jennifer M. Sunday et al.   Nature Climate Change

Exploring alternative states in ecological systems with a qualitative analysis of community feedback

(2011) Martin P. Marzloff et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Invasional meltdown: Invader–invader mutualism facilitates a secondary invasion

(2011) Peter T Green et al.   ECOLOGY

Climate change cascades: Shifts in oceanography, species' ranges and subtidal marine community dynamics in eastern Tasmania

(2011) Craig R. Johnson et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL MARINE BIOLOGY AND ECOLOGY

Impacts of climate change in a global hotspot for temperate marine biodiversity and ocean warming

(2011) Thomas Wernberg et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL MARINE BIOLOGY AND ECOLOGY

Modelling climate-change effects on Australian and Pacific aquatic ecosystems: a review of analytical tools and management implications

(2011) Éva E. Plagányi et al.   MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH

Decreasing resilience of kelp beds along a latitudinal temperature gradient: potential implications for a warmer future

(2010) Thomas Wernberg et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Long-term shifts in abundance and distribution of a temperate fish fauna: a response to climate change and fishing practices

(2010) Peter R. Last et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Marine range shifts and species introductions: comparative spread rates and community impacts

(2010) Cascade J. B. Sorte et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels

(2010) W. H. Van der Putten et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios

(2009) William W.L. Cheung et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change

(2009) WILLIAM W. L. CHEUNG et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Changes in invertebrate and macroalgal populations in Tasmanian marine reserves in the decade following protection

(2009) Neville S. Barrett et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL MARINE BIOLOGY AND ECOLOGY

Trophic effects of fishing southern rock lobster Jasus edwardsii shown by combined fatty acid and stable isotope analyses

(2009) MA Guest et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Overfishing reduces resilience of kelp beds to climate-driven catastrophic phase shift

(2009) S. D. Ling et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Novel ecosystems: implications for conservation and restoration

(2009) Richard J. Hobbs et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

ASSESSING MODEL STRUCTURE UNCERTAINTY THROUGH AN ANALYSIS OF SYSTEM FEEDBACK AND BAYESIAN NETWORKS

(2008) Geoffrey R. Hosack et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

UNDERSTANDING AND PREDICTING ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS: ARE MAJOR SURPRISES INEVITABLE

(2008) Daniel F. Doak et al.   ECOLOGY

Climate-driven range extension of a sea urchin: inferring future trends by analysis of recent population dynamics

(2008) S. D. LING et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Effect of predator–prey and competitive interactions on size at emergence in the black-lip abalone Haliotis rubra in a Tasmanian MPA

(2008) HG Pederson et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Competition between an invasive urchin and commercially fished abalone: effect on body condition, reproduction and survivorship

(2008) EMA Strain et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Range expansion of a habitat-modifying species leads to loss of taxonomic diversity: a new and impoverished reef state

(2008) S. D. Ling   OECOLOGIA