4.7 Article

Analysis of the warmest Arctic winter, 2015-2016

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 43, Issue 20, Pages 10808-10816

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071228

Keywords

polar amplification; winter 2015-2016; Arctic warming

Funding

  1. NASA Interdisciplinary Research in Earth Science (IDS) program

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December through February 2015-2016 defines the warmest winter season over the Arctic in the observational record. Positive 2m temperature anomalies were focused over regions of reduced sea ice cover in the Kara and Barents Seas and southwestern Alaska. A third region is found over the ice-covered central Arctic Ocean. The period is marked by a strong synoptic pattern which produced melting temperatures in close proximity to the North Pole in late December and anomalous high pressure near the Taymyr Peninsula. Atmospheric teleconnections from the Atlantic contributed to warming over Eurasian high-latitude land surfaces, and El Nino-related teleconnections explain warming over southwestern Alaska and British Columbia, while warm anomalies over the central Arctic are associated with physical processes including the presence of enhanced atmospheric water vapor and an increased downwelling longwave radiative flux. Preconditioning of sea ice conditions by warm temperatures affected the ensuing spring extent.

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