Unknown Eruption Source Parameters Cause Large Uncertainty in Historical Volcanic Radiative Forcing Reconstructions

Extreme climate after massive eruption of Alaska’s Okmok volcano in 43 BCE and effects on the late Roman Republic and Ptolemaic Kingdom

(2020) Joseph R. McConnell et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments

(2020) Lauren R. Marshall et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Clarifying the relative role of forcing uncertainties and initial-condition unknowns in spreading the climate response to volcanic eruptions.

(2019) Davide Zanchettin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Stratospheric eruptions from tropical and extra-tropical volcanoes constrained using high-resolution sulfur isotopes in ice cores

(2019) Andrea Burke et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

Exploring How Eruption Source Parameters Affect Volcanic Radiative Forcing Using Statistical Emulation

(2018) Lauren Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Volcanic Radiative Forcing From 1979 to 2015

(2018) Anja Schmidt et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Radiative and Chemical Response to Interactive Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosols in Fully Coupled CESM1(WACCM)

(2017) Michael J. Mills et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Small global-mean cooling due to volcanic radiative forcing

(2016) J. M. Gregory et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climatic and societal impacts of a volcanic double event at the dawn of the Middle Ages

(2016) Matthew Toohey et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

A comparison of statistical emulation methodologies for multi-wave calibration of environmental models

(2016) James M. Salter et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

A Temporal Kernel Method to Compute Effective Radiative Forcing in CMIP5 Transient Simulations

(2016) Erik J. L. Larson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Multi-decadal satellite measurements of global volcanic degassing

(2016) S.A. Carn et al.   JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH

Role of atmospheric chemistry in the climate impacts of stratospheric volcanic injections

(2016) Allegra N. LeGrande et al.   Nature Geoscience

The 1257 Samalas eruption (Lombok, Indonesia): the single greatest stratospheric gas release of the Common Era

(2016) Céline M. Vidal et al.   Scientific Reports

Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects

(2016) Christoph C. Raible et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Evolution of stratospheric sulfate aerosol from the 1991 Pinatubo eruption: Roles of aerosol microphysical processes

(2016) T. Sekiya et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Global volcanic aerosol properties derived from emissions, 1990-2014, using CESM1(WACCM)

(2016) Michael J. Mills et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years

(2015) M. Sigl et al.   NATURE

Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years

(2015) Markus Stoffel et al.   Nature Geoscience

Significant radiative impact of volcanic aerosol in the lowermost stratosphere

(2015) Sandra M. Andersson et al.   Nature Communications

Evaluating uncertainty in convective cloud microphysics using statistical emulation

(2015) J. S. Johnson et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

DiceKriging,DiceOptim: TwoRPackages for the Analysis of Computer Experiments by Kriging-Based Metamodeling and Optimization

(2015) Olivier Roustant et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching

(2014) Daniel Williamson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Insights from Antarctica on volcanic forcing during the Common Era

(2014) Michael Sigl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate models without preindustrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion

(2013) J.M. Gregory et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Volcanic sulfate deposition to Greenland and Antarctica: A modeling sensitivity study

(2013) Matthew Toohey et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

The effect of the nugget on Gaussian process emulators of computer models

(2012) Ioannis Andrianakis et al.   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Radiative forcing and climate impact resulting from SO2 injections based on a 200,000-year record of Plinian eruptions along the Central American Volcanic Arc

(2012) D. Metzner et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES

Stratospheric Variability in Twentieth-Century CMIP5 Simulations of the Met Office Climate Model: High Top versus Low Top

(2012) Scott M. Osprey et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Dispersion of the volcanic sulfate cloud from a Mount Pinatubo-like eruption

(2012) Valentina Aquila et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

South Pole ice core record of explosive volcanic eruptions in the first and second millennia A.D. and evidence of a large eruption in the tropics around 535 A.D.

(2011) Dave G. Ferris et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Climate effects of high-latitude volcanic eruptions: Role of the time of year

(2011) Ben Kravitz et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The Brewer-Dobson circulation inferred from ERA-Interim

(2011) William J. M. Seviour et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Aerosol size confines climate response to volcanic super-eruptions

(2010) Claudia Timmreck et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Gaussian process emulation for second-order Monte Carlo simulations

(2010) J.S. Johnson et al.   JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE

Effects of the quasi-biennial oscillation on low-latitude transport in the stratosphere derived from trajectory calculations

(2009) H. J. Punge et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Diagnostics for Gaussian Process Emulators

(2009) Leonardo S. Bastos et al.   TECHNOMETRICS

Volcanic forcing of climate over the past 1500 years: An improved ice core-based index for climate models

(2008) Chaochao Gao et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH